Yup, still bleeding. Actually euro and gfs both have the shortwave slightly weaker relative to 0z at least, but the damn ridge keeps growing each run. Not sure why exactly. I think the slower forward progress is part of that.
Still bleeding the wrong way with storm and ridge strength. And as @psuhoffman showed, a more consolidated storm has less overrunning in the warm sector. Good news is we’re still 4.5 days away. Bad news is we’re still 4.5 days away.
Well said @psuhoffman. At best this weekend will be some front end snow/mix before rain. That’s fine, it was almost certain to not be pure snow. But big possibilities rolling into the following week.
IF, giant IF, we get a major strat disruption in early-mid Feb, that would support winter hanging on into March when potentially tropical forcing could be in warm phases by mid-late Feb. Lots of wild speculation there lol