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WxUSAF

Moderator Meteorologist
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Everything posted by WxUSAF

  1. WxUSAF
    Flurries in Columbia! Third day with snow in November! Big winter inbound obvs
  2. WxUSAF
    Way out there so certainly will change, but the end of the GEFS run possibly shows things moving in our favor with the tropospheric vortex split and a -EPO ridge and western Russia/Scandinavian ridge pushing poleward. That -EPO is also nosing onto the west coast, although not enough. Until then things look kinda blah, although getting stormier so at least we can keep and eye out for needle threading. Dec 5-9 period looks active with some cold air nearby.
  3. WxUSAF
    Temp is 43 but pretty sure I had a few mangled flakes falling while I was running errands. My wife noticed it at the same time as me and there were a few wet spots on the windshield.
  4. WxUSAF
    Yeah, a wins a win, but damn they aren’t pretty. Defense has clearly improved through. Queen is making plays finally. Bowser is coming into his own and Oweh looks like he will be a star.
  5. WxUSAF
  6. WxUSAF
    Glad my shade got some results but still they’re allergic to first half TDs
  7. WxUSAF
    Ravens averaging about 0.08 yards per carry so far
  8. WxUSAF
    Legit snowing to the point non-weenies would definitely notice. Too bad it’s 38F.
  9. WxUSAF
    Wooo! First flakes in Columbia confirmed!
  10. WxUSAF
    For sure. Got down to 26F at my house last Wednesday and was in the 20s for many hours, so that might have done it. Certainly noticeable on some leaves/plants. Of course, the damn chickweed will grow at just about any temperature above 20F.
  11. WxUSAF
    Noticeable short term modeling bust last night. All guidance I saw showed it getting 5-10F colder.
  12. WxUSAF
    It’s not even snowing tonight and these random temp flatlines and rises (36 now, hrrr and NAM had it below freezing) still stress me out and piss me off in winter.
  13. WxUSAF
    So you’re saying we're due!?!?!!!???
  14. WxUSAF
    Saw a 12z euro snow map and it had the 0.1” line to DC. One more run like that and I might put the snowboard out tomorrow
  15. WxUSAF
    Euro throws us a turkey drumstick in the form of some blue pixels early Sunday.
  16. WxUSAF
    It’s a pretty large run-to-run change. Finds this strong southern stream wave and does a sloppy phase of everything to our northeast (of course).
  17. WxUSAF
    Euro says welcome to La Niña suckers
  18. WxUSAF
    Another? When did I miss the first one?
  19. WxUSAF
    Same. Would much rather have a favorable longwave pattern later into December when climo temps are colder.
  20. WxUSAF
    Overnight EPS and GEFS both are cankicking/muting the early December torch somewhat. Both show another trough digging in around Dec 4-5, which is when there probably will be a big storm somewhere in the eastern CONUS. Given the look, I’m skeptical that it’s a snowy pattern for us, although the trailing wave idea can work in otherwise crappy patterns.
  21. WxUSAF
    Maybe the first of these radiative cooling clear nights when I’ve been colder than BWI. BWI has had some respectable minimums over the last 3 weeks relative to the surrounding area. But today only 30 at BWI currently (low of 28) and 27 IMBY.
  22. WxUSAF
    @MillvilleWx at the party
  23. WxUSAF
    Congrats to @wxdude64 on winning the 2021 First Freeze contest! @wxdude64 pulled out a very close contest with an exact forecast for DCA that hit 32F on an intrahour ob through a period of 34F hourly obs this morning. @mappy and @yoda tied for 2nd, only 1 day behind. For I think the first time in the history of the contest, our cumulative mean forecast was actually the best of all and beat @wxdude64 by 4 days!
  24. WxUSAF
    High of 43 and low of 30 so far today. May be able to get below 30 before midnight. 40 currently.
  25. WxUSAF
    Good. All stores should be closed thanksgiving.
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