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WxUSAF

Moderator Meteorologist
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Everything posted by WxUSAF

  1. WxUSAF
    North is always the huge risk with these clippers. But there’s a lot of vorts flying around so I’d just take each run as entertainment until Thursday-Friday at least.
  2. WxUSAF
    Definitely want it south right now. Almost always adjust north within 24-48 hours. GFS has the energy as well, just weaker.
  3. WxUSAF
    He did not.
  4. WxUSAF
    This GIF shows the differences between the 3 globals for this shortwave. GFS doesn't even key on that shortwave at all. GGEM phases it with another northern stream shortwave, which pulls it north. Euro keeps it separate and has very suppressive flow offshore in the Atlantic, which keeps it tracking south of us. From previous clipper experience+climo, the GFS or GGEM solutions are FAR more likely than the Euro solution. These northern stream shortwaves usually pass to our north, especially in November!
  5. WxUSAF
    Oh, good catch. @wxdude64 would win and @mappy and @yodawould tie for 2nd. Our mean forecast would actually win by 4 days though!
  6. WxUSAF
    DT woofing about this now as the Australian MJO forecast shows the wave getting to phase 8 with moderate-strong amplitude by Dec 10 and then going into the COD from there. If that happens, that should provide a long wave pattern supportive of cold/snow for us in mid-December.
  7. WxUSAF
    All 3 globals have something like that in the Sunday-Tuesday time frame next week.
  8. WxUSAF
    Prayers for you
  9. WxUSAF
    0.0” of rain from the major storm impacting the holiday travel of millions!!
  10. WxUSAF
    Big plays have killed then all year. They played pretty solid overall but for 2 big plays. Sort of like the dolphins game. Opponents get tough now. Going to find out how flukey the 7-3 record is real soon.
  11. WxUSAF
    Wow. Tyler Huntley game ball
  12. WxUSAF
  13. WxUSAF
    Decent drive. Huntley made some nice plays.
  14. WxUSAF
    I was saying to a couple friends that maybe he has IBS. Seriously. Not sure how many colds, etc. a healthy 25yo can catch in 4 months.
  15. WxUSAF
    Some signs that maybe we can get the MJO out of the maritime continent toward phase 7 (at least) with some amplitude during the first week of December. After the probable warm start to December, that could force some colder conditions into the second week.
  16. WxUSAF
    Lol DCA. Didn’t get there.
  17. WxUSAF
    Lol, they just showed a forecast radar animation of the “major storm brewing”. It was a broken line of rain showers that mostly falls apart before hitting the northeast metro corridor.
  18. WxUSAF
    OMG, NBC is still hyping a “major” storm impacting the holiday travel of “millions”. I guess if chilly breezes count?
  19. WxUSAF
    28F now. Frosty outside.
  20. WxUSAF
    Let’s gooooooooooooo!!!!!!!!!
  21. WxUSAF
    High of 47. Down to 43 now. Morning low was 39, but I expect we’ll break that easily this evening.
  22. WxUSAF
    That period after thanksgiving around D9-11 is interesting. Again just wish it was late December instead of late November.
  23. WxUSAF
    I just finished Book 1 yesterday. Liked it but didn’t love it. Not sure I want to dive into the next. I started the first 20 mins of episode 1 today.
  24. WxUSAF
    They were still talking about all these weather disruptions last night on NBC nightly news and I just can’t figure out what they’re talking about lol.
  25. WxUSAF
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