WxUSAF
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Everything posted by WxUSAF
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I think there’s been enough modeling to say that chances of early season snow is above (well above?) normal for the D6-14 period. Still not even a 50/50 chance given climo, but the pattern is nice with the strong -EPO providing cold air and the remnant SE ridge setting the storm track near us or to our south. Bummer we’re not getting this 1 month (or even 2 weeks) later.
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A healthy Andrews will obviously help. I wish they got the RBs more involved in the passing game. Maybe when Dobbins is back? The defense is getting better (and they’re playing worse teams) and Roquan is a beast. I think things are setting up well for them. Can they beat good teams in the playoffs? I’m still skeptical.
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Going into the bye, the schedule looks very favorable for the ravens. 4 very winnable games in a row after the bye. I’d like to have a solid cushion over the bengals so that final game in Cincy isn’t decisive.
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Got one crappy picture
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Credit where due: Greg Roman is calling a good game so far
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If it was 2-3 weeks later I’d be getting interested. Alas…
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BWI’s record of 81F is warmest so late in the year.
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Records at all 3 airports today
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Happy hour NAM and GFS is back baby!!!
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If BWI and RIC reach on Monday and DCA on Tuesday, then @yoda will win followed by you and @GramaxRefugee. Collectively not our best showing for sure relative to past years.
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Seems like the Sunday-Tuesday period is going to score for BWI and RIC. DCA maybe not a lock yet, but euro and GGEM both have widespread 20s for lows which would probably be a sufficient airmass for DCA too.
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Hour less sunlight doesn’t seem to be holding temps down
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I watched the end of that. Brutal.
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Talk about a pattern change. 6z gfs goes from this torch to not hitting 50F after next Saturday morning through the end of the run.
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Fantastic thread from @griteater this morning about 3 dominant Niña patterns and where this winter may fall in that mix. Spoiler alert, probably not in the least conducive pattern for mid-Atlantic snowfall.
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A low temp more typical for late June.
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Must be UHI
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I’m guessing JB is going with a 89-90/95-96 blend as a forecast? December 89 and Jan-Feb 96?
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That’s the timing when we could take advantage of a good pattern with climo becoming supportive of snow events. Dry would always be a risk with that look in a Niña, but need some cold air in December to have any chance. Fingers crossed.
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Oh look, a casual 3 days with +20F departures on morning lows
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That part seems like a lock. But they’re still waffling on whether it couples with a +PNA and hence how chilly we get.
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I’m encouraged you think we’ll have legit threats this year and will join if such a miracle occurs
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@mattie gis a dork and he’s talking about lord of the rings
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I’d wager with how anomalous these first 10 days are, that seals the deal for a AN month. As we know, we drop >=+10F departures like Steph Curry shooting 3s, while we’ll eke out a couple -5F departures on our “cold” days.
