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WxUSAF

Moderator Meteorologist
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Everything posted by WxUSAF

  1. WxUSAF
    Can see the sun through the clouds…missing the thump. Light drizzle/sleet/snow mix in the lull.
  2. WxUSAF
    Need some rates. Come on baby and thump me!
  3. WxUSAF
    Eyeballing 2.5”. Will measure later
  4. WxUSAF
    A few flakes mixing in. Look rimed
  5. WxUSAF
    All sleet in Columbia now
  6. WxUSAF
    Have a sleet/freezing rain mix falling in Columbia
  7. WxUSAF
    Just looked at the mesos…Blech. Oh well, I’m onto the MLK week HECS.
  8. WxUSAF
    Got down to 25.6 around 230am. Now 28/23. Way better airmass than we’ve had in lots of other marginal events in the past. Not sure it will mean much in the end, but doesn’t hurt.
  9. WxUSAF
    28/20
  10. WxUSAF
    CAD and WAA precip are the 2 things that will overperform for us. This isn’t a CAD situation but we can hope that we get a good thump for a few hours tomorrow. That’s the most reasonable “boom” scenario for the metro corridor (and maybe even N/W areas). A few hours of light precip won’t cut it. Fingers crossed!
  11. WxUSAF
    Sorry, I’ve moved onto tracking front end snow from the next rainstorm
  12. WxUSAF
    High of 39 and starting to tick down. Dew is 18.
  13. WxUSAF
    What triggers me most? -PNA or being in @Ellinwood’s dreaded “mixing” zone.
  14. WxUSAF
    Dropped to 19.2! First teens this winter.
  15. WxUSAF
    Low of 20.7 so far
  16. WxUSAF
    Amazing thread from Tomer tonight. You’ll want to read to the end.
  17. WxUSAF
    Snow depth is good to check against in marginal situations like this but I’m not sure I’ve ever seen actually accumulations that match snow depth forecasts. Even the December post-deluge changeover beat the snow depths by like a factor of 2.
  18. WxUSAF
    I love how on TT, the 3k NAM keeps accumulating snow even after the flip to rain.
  19. WxUSAF
    Next tuesdays cutter sets the thermal boundary for any follow up waves. GGEM makes that boundary much more favorable and has been consistently more friendly than the gfs. But gfs isn’t too far off… Late next week is still a time to watch closely.
  20. WxUSAF
    Under my new “I’ll take anything measurable” criteria for storm success, IMBY, I’ll take the gfs in a hot second. Far N/W folks probably like it a lot less though as it trims precip totals for the mountains.
  21. WxUSAF
    I’m taking the TT 3k NAM 10:1 snowmap as my final call, no takebacks, all in. In reality, it does show about 4 hours of pretty heavy snow from 16-20z IMBY. If that did happen…
  22. WxUSAF
    Even Webb is honking for the MLK day week this morning
  23. WxUSAF
    Flurries in Columbia per Mrs WxUSAF. Long range pattern verified!!
  24. WxUSAF
    Could go down like that. Most strong Ninos give us a 3-5 week heater and comes down to how many times we can capitalize.
  25. WxUSAF
    To be fair, it was pretty obvious by this time last year that we were almost certainly cooked. We weren’t even teased with D10-15 longwave patterns.
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