John1122
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Everything posted by John1122
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Looks like MRX is rolling with the NAM as a heavy favorite in the current modeling. The HRRR has been increasing potential totals steadily, with the RGEM being steadfast in a decent event.
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The GFS and Canadian/RGEM are singing a wintery tune for this week at 00z. It would be great if they're correct.
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The EPO doesn't always work for us. It can be too far West and dump the cold there while we get cutters. But when it's right, we don't have to worry about rain, just suppression and pipe busting cold behind storms.
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The GFS is back on with the winter storm. Hopefully we can lock in to a stable and winter weather solution.
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You can see below the temps in Kentucky. It's 48 in Jellico but 32 about 10 miles away in Clarfield.
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Really strange that it's in the mid to upper 40s all around me but it's 33 here. There's a small pocket of lower 30s in part of Campbell and Claiborne County. I thought the cold front must have passed but it's 44 to 48 north and west of me.
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3k NAM is trying to give another 1/2 inch to 2 inch event to the area on Wednesday night. The RGEM is sort of on board too.
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The cold is impressive. I've only gotten up to 27 today.
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It ended up steadily snowing until about 5 am here, tiny flakes once it got below 30 but I ended up with 1.75 inches.
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The GFS is trying for the d9 storm, Plateau and west to the mid-state. Canadian is a far western ice storm with a low running west of the apps. 12+ hours of upper 20s to lower 30s in West Tennessee while Eastern areas are in the 50s. The euro is much warmer than either and it's all rain. So every model has the storm, the path is the big question.
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This was I-75 about 5 miles as the crow flies from me, about an hour ago.
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The radar looked healthy down that way. I was wondering if it was getting to the surface.
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It was enough to close schools across the Northern border counties. So plenty of happy kids and sad parents.
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Have around an inch. More than I expected. Snow is steady but small flakes, 28 degrees. 75 is a mess as are other highways in the area.
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Back home from basketball.
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It's reaching the ground here.
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There was a break on radar, then it's filled back in and it's snowing harder now. Up to nickel sized flakes. 32 degrees.
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The back side, if the angle works, should produce. It's snowing in Nashville and Clarksville.
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Snow is now falling here. Temp went from 39 to 34 before it started. On my way to a basketball game in Jacksboro. Hopefully it continues to pick up.
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Sky has lowered and the temp has dropped 5 degrees in the last 45 minutes. Flakes should be reaching here soon. Had some virga so far.
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Snow is falling again this afternoon. Nothing heavy but festive for the first day of winter/December.
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Decent snow shower working over. Ironically, I went from a 20 percent chance of snow to having it removed from the forecast when it had started snowing.
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Getting flakes here. That's three times in November. Pretty decent considering we were +9 before today.
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I've got an uncle who's 90 and in hospice, going into his final days. He looks just like my grandfather(his dad) who got me hooked on weather. It's tough getting older, in that we lose so many folks we thought were giants growing up. Condolences to you and your wife. Have a safe trip.
