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John1122

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Everything posted by John1122

  1. John1122
    Had a heavy rainer this morning already. Looks like summer is basically over. I'm sure we'll get a few Indian Summer days, but my current 10 day forecast doesn't have a high above 76. The accuweather long lead, which I think is ran off the weekly models, so not terribly accurate, doesn't have a high in the 80s through the rest of the month or all of October. As a matter of fact, it has frost by the first week of October.
  2. John1122
    Had a little over an inch of rain this evening during the severe warned storm. Thundered forever before it finally got here.
  3. John1122
    I'd like to see it have a warm bias but I think it more has some odd extreme bias. Last winter it was way too cold when the big cold shot happened for Christmas. Seems like it was showing -10 to -20 around the area several days out.
  4. John1122
    The GFS is probably overdoing it in the opposite from normal direction, but the 00z run is throwing out some lower 60s for afternoon highs imby next Wednesday. Could even see some upper 40s in spots for lows several days in a row. The canadian has most of the forum region between 47-52 by Friday morning the 15th.
  5. John1122
    All summer long here. Very much so vs modeling.
  6. John1122
    Been low to mid 80s here over the weekend. Another heatwave that didn't materialize imby. It's currently sunny and 80.
  7. John1122
    It's approaching 3pm on a sunny August 31st and my AC unit hasn't kicked on today. That's hard to beat. It was 57 this morning and it's 74.8 right now.
  8. John1122
    It wasn't out to the finish when I had posted that. I think it was at 222 or so. Either way, I'd feel comfortable betting my house that we aren't seeing 110+ in the forum area.
  9. John1122
    The GFS has backed down some on it's extreme heat, not surprisingly. It's still well AN though. The Euro also has some pretty good warmth. The Canadian is more content to throw out upper 80s/around 90ish temperatures vs the mid to upper 90s the other two are tossing out. At least the 103-106 degree stuff disappeared.
  10. John1122
    75 for the high today. Looks like we will close out August in the 70s imby. I was 79 Sunday, 73 Monday. Rare to see a Sunday-Thursday to close August with highs in the 70s.
  11. John1122
    I meant 8am in that post. It rained some overnight here. We had around 2 inches since yesterday morning here. It's crazy that your area is in a micro drought almost. I've noticed it's just about a county in size on the drought monitor.
  12. John1122
    Still coming down pretty hard here. Been steady moderate to heavyish rain since around 8pm, and it's still loaded up to my SW with virtually no movement other than training/re-developing from Crossville up to my area.
  13. John1122
    The Euro looks like it has 2-3 days of upper 80s to lower 90s, with maybe some mid 90s for Memphis. Much better than the GFS and it's 100-105 degree stuff. The Euro looks to have 3 or so days of the heat and then it breaks down a bit.
  14. John1122
    All mid to long term discussion is in met fall at this point. This should carry us until Nov 20th or so, when December/winter starts showing up on models. Blah weather to begin fall, if the GFS is correct. Lingering heat that clings on like an unwelcome in-law on it. If the GFS is being it's normal, likely ridiculous self, we may be lucky. The Canadian says "what heat?" over the next 10 days.
  15. John1122
    About an inch and a quarter of rain this morning and looks like a good bit more in the pipeline. Thunder and heavy rain moving overhead right now. This should continue to help blunt the heat. My uncle, just East of Dallas in Hunt Co, hasn't had rain in over a month and has only had 3 or 4 days in August under 100f.
  16. John1122
    Impressive rains this morning. I think part of the reason we don't get as hot as the GFS throws out is that we aren't in a drought of any kind.
  17. John1122
    Didn't get out of the 70s yesterday, probably won't today and have some likely mid-50s or lower coming for Thursday morning. Can't really close out met summer any better imo.
  18. John1122
    Looks like 83 is gonna be my high today. Been several cloudy periods. Last night's wind and rain made for an interesting halftime show for our band.
  19. John1122
    With the things it's been throwing out, you can safely shave 5 to 10 degrees off the highs it tosses out when it starts those 105+ degree readings.
  20. John1122
    It's dripping humid but nothing like the non-Plateau/Mountain folk are having to deal with. My brother in Hixson said it was 99 at his house a couple hours ago.
  21. John1122
    Peaked at 88.5 and am now 86.5. No 90 summer achieved, barring something odd happening tomorrow.
  22. John1122
    Temp has made it back to 84.5 here after the rain moved out, as 4pm approaches. If by some miracle we can get a well timed shower tomorrow, the 90-free summer will be accomplished. No guarantee we can get a 90-free fall though.
  23. John1122
    It's currently raining here. Temp had made it to 84, it's down to 82 now. Gonna be a brief shower but it's pouring.
  24. John1122
    Hit 87 today. I feel like Friday is almost guaranteed to be 90+ but I'm holding out hope for a summer sweep. The GFS was 10-20 degrees too warm across the region a few days ago. It tends to go way to extreme with cold and heat since the last upgrade.
  25. John1122
    I capped out at 85.8 degrees. Back down to 84 now.
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