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John1122

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Everything posted by John1122

  1. John1122
    2:30 and I've only reached 84 degrees. We will see where it gets to this afternoon, but this is looking like another toothless heatwave for mby. It may still get hotter Wednesday-Friday but three warm/hot days isn't nearly as bad as the GFS was looking a few days ago. As Carver noted, the extended at this point is met fall.
  2. John1122
    Thought today might be the day, but capped out at 85.2. Clouds rolled in around 2:30 and it was mostly cloudy all afternoon into evening.
  3. John1122
    My no 90s streak will probably end next week. The euro is much more believable than the GFS. It throws out a max of 93 for me. The GFS had 99 one day. Oddly, the GFS had me at 84 one day while Nashville was 109. It didn't even have a storm over my area at the time.
  4. John1122
    The GFS has gone bonkers or most of the Southeast is going to set all time record high temps. It's throwing out nearly 120 degrees in Mississippi. 113 in Memphis near the Miss border, 110 in Nashville. 114 in Indiana. 114 in Illinois. It's done this often for the last couple of years and it's never remotely close to verifying.
  5. John1122
    Looks like summer misery will arrive just in time for football season. Dry and hot couple of weeks inbound. Hopefully the pattern breaks down towards day 10.
  6. John1122
    A friend of mine dropped her daughter off at ETSU a few hours ago and got caught in that storm on her way home.
  7. John1122
    Very heavy rain here but not even close to as much thunder as this morning.
  8. John1122
    Dewpoint is a ridiculous 77 degrees. Air temp is up to 84 here at the golf course. It feels about as bad as it has any day this year. Looks like any storms are going to hold off until tonight if future radars are to be believed.
  9. John1122
    Curious as to whether there's enough juice left here to re-fire storms or not. Two rounds today has kept temperatures in the 70s. Cloudy now with an occasional peek of sun.
  10. John1122
    That was a heck of a morning storm. Tons of boomers and heavy rain. No power here.
  11. John1122
    Hail underway. Pea and dime sized. That's 3 hailers this week.
  12. John1122
    Rocking and rolling here. Stiff wind and extremely heavy rain again. Flooding is all but assured. It was nearly as dark as night as this one moved in.
  13. John1122
    Ended up getting some dime sized hail, strong wind and just exceptionally heavy rain from that one.
  14. John1122
    Man, quite a storm, downpour here. Wasn't really expecting it yesterday but it seems like it rains almost every chance it gets this summer. According to sky conditions after this passes, possibly going to have yet another day with a high in the 70s.
  15. John1122
    80.6 for the high today. I hope the other shoe doesn't drop and we have a fall/winter heat wave. We kinda had the heatwave Jan-March this year.
  16. John1122
    Carver's spoke of creating an early winter spec thread recently, and after another day in the 70s in August, I figured why not get the ball rolling. This for general long term talk about the potential winter patterns, etc. Right now, the EPO has went negative, it's at -12, and is in the East descending phase. In 2021-22 it fell into the negative in May and stayed deeply negative until the following May. So it should descend throughout winter. Below, average pressure anomalies over NH when the QBO is negative. Higher in the PNA/NAO region, lower over the south and eastern U.S. (These maps may initially appear confusing, since they greens are positive numbers. It just means that the they are higher by those margins over those areas or lower by those margins over those areas when there isn't a -QBO in place. Just keep in mind green = lower pressure and cooler temps during -QBO years) There tends to be higher pressure over the North Pole during a -QBO, which results in a weaker jet stream/polar vortex on average. During an El Nino/-QBO combination our forum region is slightly BN for temps DJF and pressures are quite a bit lower across the Southeast (our storm track). The map doesn't look unlike this for temps, but BN for Texas, Tennessee, North Carolina and up the east coast is more prominent than the CPC map here. Especially over Texas.
  17. John1122
    Had one of the loudest, longest claps of thunder I've ever experienced this morning. Must have hit close and somehow it went on shaking the house for at least 8 to 10 seconds.
  18. John1122
    Condolences buddy. It's tough when we start losing our parents. I feel you on the MCL. I sprained mine hiking down a steep ridge a few years ago. It was bad enough.
  19. John1122
    59 this morning and 79 for the high. It's the year without a summer practically here.
  20. John1122
    Some trees down and the hail was nickel+ sized. I did just hear on the scanner that trees were across Shady Cove road but some ol' boys had already cut them out, so they canceled the county crew. (One out of every 4 vehicles has a chainsaw)
  21. John1122
    This one means business. Hail and a gust to 68 so far.
  22. John1122
    This warned storm is about to hit me. Already a whole lot of thunder and it's almost as dark as night out.
  23. John1122
    Even under sunny skies I only made it to 79 degrees yesterday. Warmer today, peaked at 83.1. Looks like some more storms possible tonight and tomorrow. I truly hope this pattern can repeat in winter at some point with BN temps and precip events.
  24. John1122
    Only about an inch here. But another day with the high in the low 70s. Summer's worst, on average, is behind us.
  25. John1122
    The rain event looks less impactful for tomorrow than originally forecast. Went from 70 percent chance down to 20 for my area. Still been a nice soaker since this morning and my tomatoes are huge with some 1lb fruits on the vine. Still not ripe but turning that corner. I should have a lot of them through August and September.
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