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John1122

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  1. John1122
    BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Tornado Warning National Weather Service Morristown TN 335 AM EST Tue Mar 3 2020 The National Weather Service in Morristown has issued a * Tornado Warning for... Morgan County in east Tennessee... * Until 400 AM EST. * At 335 AM EST, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located 10 miles north of Fairfield Glade, or 16 miles northeast of Crossville, moving east at 50 mph. HAZARD...Tornado and half dollar size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. * This dangerous storm will be near... Wartburg around 355 AM EST. Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include High Point, Coalfield, Frozen Head State Park, Deerlodge, Petros and Sunbright. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. Tornadoes are extremely difficult to see and confirm at night. Do not wait to see or hear the tornado. TAKE COVER NOW! && LAT...LON 3624 8489 3623 8457 3623 8455 3620 8447 3616 8444 3614 8445 3611 8442 3610 8438 3602 8438 3601 8440 3604 8478 3609 8480 3609 8483 3614 8487 3616 8491 3621 8491 TIME...MOT...LOC 0835Z 271DEG 42KT 3615 8488 TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED HAIL...1.25IN
  2. John1122
    Hopefully this missed Shocker.
  3. John1122
    The National Weather Service in Nashville has issued a * Tornado Warning for... Southeastern Overton County in Middle Tennessee... Northern Cumberland County in Middle Tennessee... East central Putnam County in Middle Tennessee... Southwestern Fentress County in Middle Tennessee... * Until 245 AM CST. * At 212 AM CST, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located near Monterey, or 11 miles east of Cookeville, moving east at 60 mph. HAZARD...Tornado and quarter size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. * This tornadic thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of southeastern Overton, northern Cumberland, east central Putnam and southwestern Fentress Counties, including the following locations... Clarkrange. This includes Interstate 40 between mile markers 296 and 308. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. Tornadoes are extremely difficult to see and confirm at night. Do not wait to see or hear the tornado. TAKE COVER NOW! &&
  4. John1122
    Friend of mine in that area just posted that the sirens were going off. Hope all our mid Valley folks are okay.
  5. John1122
    There's apparently an East Tennessee winter storm Facebook page that was hyping the GFS run as if it were legitimately a threat. The shame of it is it has thousands of followers.
  6. John1122
    That would make this winter almost dead on with 1993. It also featured a horrible December and January that finally got a little snowy the last 10 days of February then the March mega storm hit. My actual guess is that it's wildly wrong of course. But the GFS has done the best with temperatures for the past several weeks. I believe I saw that the GFS was only -2.7, the Euro was -4.8, the Euro Ens were -5.5ish, the GEFS was -6.8 and the GGEM was something like -11.
  7. John1122
    I'm already ready for summer and spring to be over. Tennessee isn't making the NCAAs and I'm already tired of humid, 88-95 degrees and rain. At least in fall when it's still 88-95 degrees its dry.
  8. John1122
    Another 4 inch week of rain would probably out us back into areal flooding. The ground is like a full sponge right now. I had a flat earlier and had the worst time changing it. Due to the nature of where I live there are sections of paved road and sections of gravel. My flat happened in gravel. It was like soup, my jack kept sinking into the ground. Soil is soaked at every level.
  9. John1122
    Had an 8 foot deep mega pothole/sinkhole open in an area roadway this week. There was a huge one in a backyard a couple weeks ago.
  10. John1122
    2012 ended up being the lowest summer ice extent on record due to a very unfavorable pattern that developed in spring and summer over the Arctic. 2012 at this time of year wasn't remotely the lowest ice extent on record. We are slightly ahead of 2012 right now and overall this winter has seen gains in Arctic ice that easily outpaced average. Currently sea is is ahead of 2019 on this date, well ahead of 2018 on this date, well ahead of 2017 on this date, well ahead of 2016 on this date, ahead of 2015 on this date, ahead of 2014 on this date, roughly tied with 2013 on this date, ahead of 2011 on this date, roughly tied with 2010, behind 2009 and 2008, ahead of 2007, ahead of 2006, ahead of 2005, behind 2004-2001. So in the last 20 years we are currently ahead on Arctic sea ice vs 14 of the 20 years. So the +AO has done pretty good work in the Arctic this year.
  11. John1122
    GFS and Canadian are both feet in with the Northern stream. The Euro is less impressed. The Euro hasn't been good with the southern stream beyond 48 hours this year. Not had any notable Northern stream stuff to judge.
  12. John1122
    Looks like 10-20 degrees BN for temps February 25th-29th. Opens a window for some possible northern stream clipper or flow snow. Been a rare thing this year.
  13. John1122
    I'd like to see an event with temps around 26-29 instead of 32/33. BL temps always rule the roost. Even being at 32 vs 34 is huge. Maybe not in the cards for the rest of the season though. Today did make me appreciate just how hard it snowed in April 1987 and in a couple of other April events I had. My accumulation today came in two waves when very heavy snow fell at over an inch per hour rates. Less than that and it just snowed on top of the snow but it was melting from underneath at an equal or greater rate of the snow falling. I had a 3 inch event in April 1997 or 1998 when I got all 3 inches in 1.5 hours of silver dollars. April 1987 was basically 12 hours of silver dollars. We had that today but in shorter bursts. I had .30 QPF today. Looks like some areas around Knoxville towards Morristown had much more. Close to an inch in some places. I wish I could have given you guys my temps.
  14. John1122
    wrong thread.
  15. John1122
    If the Euro jumps on board tonight I'm going to hope for an inch. If not I'll expect snow showers with no accumulations and hope I'm wrong. It's amazing how many times I've been too far north the last few years.
  16. John1122
    MRX rolling with the Euro based on their snow map. Can't really blame them.
  17. John1122
    It was a Tuesday-Wedneday timeframe. Around Feb 11th and 12th I think.
  18. John1122
    This is the MRX discussion from when Robert made the call about enhanced snow over East Tennessee in 2014. I don't quite think it is the same set up as here.
  19. John1122
    I won't trust it or really any model until 24 hours or less out.
  20. John1122
    The NAM is a state length slammer.
  21. John1122
    Why can't the Euro show the NAM solution?? I do not expect this to happen and hope I'm very wrong.
  22. John1122
    After the 00z suite, pretty sure I'm out of chances. Not willing to hang my hat on the ICON. But there may be some flakes in the air from Memphis to Tueplo to Huntsville to Chattanooga.
  23. John1122
    Front end thump comes and goes for our area. It's looking good for southern areas. Crazy how those areas average the same or less snow than our general area but have just crushed our forum area year after snowwise. No idea why it's gotten so much harder to snow specifically in the Tennessee valley but other areas of the South seem to get about their normal amount every year.
  24. John1122
    Frontogenesis at 700mb in purple. Also waa into the snowgrowth zone aiding moisture transport
  25. John1122
    The NAM 2 of the last 3 runs has shown very favorable frontogenesis setting up over various parts of Tennessee, when it does the precip is here and in a good amount. The frontgenesis 700mb maps aren't out yet for the 18z run but I suspect we will see it here when they come out.
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