HRRR was too quick on the changeover here. It had shown me as all snow at this point but had shown precip here at 11pm and it literally didn't get here until 11:55 roughly.
The cold seems to be very rate driven and it's colder to the south of me under heavier rates regardless of elevation right now.
I'm probably going to come in under the predicted totals it was throwing out but hopefully it goes full snow here before too long.