John1122

My brother in Hixson said it was raining at his house but one of his friends who lives reasonably close has a dusting. 

About 1/4th inch once I got home. This may be 1/4 inch an hour for 20+ hours. 

Snowing in western Campbell County. 

Actually gonna be out from 7 to 10ish this evening. Snow looks to be closing quickly though. 

Just now, TellicoWx said:

Sleep report near Red Bank on MPING

Those reports make me tired. 

Temps are crashing now. 

5 minutes ago, bearman said:

MRX would sure bust with their new totals map if that map verifies.

It would snow for another 8 to 12 hours in the East.  

My point forecast, which I assume is generated off the HRRR for early periods, does say I'll have freezing rain between 1 and 3 am Monday night. That would be very very odd but I'm curious to see if it happens. Then it switches back to snow with a chance of snow until 10am Tuesday.

2 minutes ago, Carvers Gap said:

We were 7 degrees over projected highs at TRI today.

I was a couple of degrees higher than forecast myself. The cold is filtering in though, and unfortunately so are the very low dps. My DP has already fallen to 10, it was 24 earlier.

The ICON manages to put the entire state in 2+ inches. It's exceedingly rare for that to happen, if it verifies.

Just now, dwagner88 said:

FWIW my temp is completely stalled at 44 DP 30 for the past 2 hours. Not sure the CF is making much progress. That may lend more credence to the NAM. I'm in a really bad spot for this one though. Almost as far SE as you can get in Hamilton county.

It should get there too, the cold I mean. I've only fallen a degree and a half off my high for the day. It's a slow burn.

4 minutes ago, Carvers Gap said:

Actually, I hadn't looked at the RAP.  Its recent run looks like the RGEM from 12z w/ slightly more precip on the northern edge.  

Are you saying that models may be underestimating totals since cold air is already in place?  Just trying to make sure I understand.  Thanks, man.

I imagine all the models sitting in a basement somewhere trying to figure out why there's not a huge warm nose screaming up either side of the Plateau. This all cold stuff confuses them. It's from the 1970s.

The ICON is actually looking like a major winner here if the MRX forecast verifies. It's 18z run is gonna be a big one for most of us again.

1 hour ago, PowellVolz said:

I was actually thinking about this earlier… we are moving mid 30’s degree temps out of the way. Usually it’s mid 50’s to 60ish or something. Seems like that would cause less drag with the cold front moving in. Thoughts?


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Snow cover is the only thing I know of that lets cold air move better. These Arctic airmasses are dense and are slow to get over bare ground. I'm not worried about it being plenty cold for all of us though, other than south eastern and maybe far far far eastern areas.

MRX's wording that 6-8 inches was below WPC guidance is very impressive.

1 minute ago, Bill in MS said:

23F.

Hopefully you get all snow and it's a lot!

Just now, Bill in MS said:

Light, fluffy snow falling now.

How cold are you guys?

4 minutes ago, jaxjagman said:

RAP looks more North than most guidance last run

A lot of the hi-res seems to disagree with OHX and their statement about Clarksville having trouble getting to 1-3 inches.

12k NAM spit out 12 inches for me, 3k spit out 15 inches.

Achievement unlocked.

Just now, PowellVolz said:

Captain accurate raising totals in ETn….




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I'm fairly sure he's going to be wrong but we'll see. OHX just said 4-7 with 8+ possible over his 1-3 area.

Cross Mtn is going to make a go at 20 inches on the 3k. Not terribly uncommon up there, an every 3 year or so event.

I'm at 14 inches on the 3k at hour 32 with snow still flying.