John1122

1 hour ago, Holston_River_Rambler said:

I was actually just about to toss up some MJO pics so we can see how they verify down the road:

 

 

I'd love to see that continue into 7. Yesterday it was curling back into 6 on the Euro, it looks better at least, today. 

The Euro did dip south by a bit. The NAM family is amped as usual at this range. I think the threat of frozen is very realistic. 

The 12z GFS sticks to it's guns and gives a nice snow event for all but the Ga/Alabama border counties basically from Nashville eastward.

MRX, in their disco mentioned that neither the GFS nor Euro really have much of a warm nose.  The OHX disco above noted models were over warming highs considering the snowcover. 

The HRRR was right. I'm currently getting light rain/snow at 18 degrees. 

The Canadian. It's crept south with the snow line as well. 

My current forecast from MRX is 80 percent snow Thursday night with moderate accumulations possible. That's usually wording for 2-4 inches. 

It's gonna be bitter cold behind it with some 10 to 20 below wind chills. So we're getting the Arctic Blast regardless of snow or not. 

We may get the sequel to the current event Thursday and Friday through the weekend. The ICON came more on board with the GFS tonight. The Canadian is trying a bit itself. We aren't likely to get nearly as much snow as we did with this system, but some of us may get more. 

People rarely like the sequel better, after all. But maybe for our mix/rain victims, this one will be better. The original is going to be hard to beat for most of us. 

It's finally stopped snowing after 29 hours. Gonna end this one at 8.5 inches. 

The HRRR gives me .16 qpf freezing rain from 2 to 5am.

9 minutes ago, Greyhound said:

I’ve always wondered why my amounts have been less than others around me. Though maybe it was a defective Harbor Freight tape measure??? But seeing some totals of others around me I pulled up a topography map of Knox Co. My house is right at the red
mark. Could it be that I’m getting some down sloping from this little ridge to the west? For the record……I’m sitting at 6.75” right now.

Edit to add: there’s about a 200ft elevation difference from the highest point of that ridge to my house






.

The rulers I bought for this literally were 12 inch rulers that were near 12.5 inches long, so your tape could be off. That close to a ridge shouldn't cause downsloping and I'm for sure 200 feet of it would matter. I've actually saw people who live near the ridge get extra snow from NW flow as the snow it generates spills over the mountain to nearby areas just on the back side.

It's odd that the HRRR indicates snow continuing around Loudon,Knox, Jefferson, Hamblin but has the zr/sleet mix on the west side. Which Knoxtron is pretty far west and is experiencing it. 

My heavy snow from this has been running SW to NE from around the 27 indicator in Morgan Co there. I think that's around Wartburg or Sunbright, just NW of Holston. 

3 minutes ago, Holston_River_Rambler said:

Not as much as it sounds like you have had. I’ve never gotten above maybe dime or penny size flakes at best. 

Since around dark it just hit the gas here. The feed has been coming from around your area or maybe a little west of you.

My rates all night and day were never close to what I've had the last 90 minutes. It just had snowed on frozen ground for 20 straight hours in the lower 20s, so i didn't need rates to pile up a decent accumulation. 

Just now, Knoxtron said:

Moderate freezing rain at 21!! This snow pack is hard to walk thru haha

 

Goodness. That's gonna take a blowtorch to melt off. 

1 minute ago, Holston_River_Rambler said:

Yeah I’m getting some warm nose here too. Mostly snow but maybe a bit of melting or sleet. 
John may be protected by Frozen Head/ Cross mt.  Might could be up to 7.5 now. 

Has it been pouring down there? 

Just now, Wurbus said:

Kinda crazy I have 10 inches of snow, sitting at 23 degrees, and now it has been sleeting/icing for the past 30 mins.

It's crazy that you've switched. The HRRR shows me switching towards midnight. I'm curious to see if that actually happens. 

It continues to absolutely dump snow. If I'd gotten these rates a few more hours those crazy 3k NAM 15 inch totals would have verified. 

2 minutes ago, Daniel Boone said:

Amazing the difference between you and there irt snow and cold most of the time. 

There's pavement and elevation differences that usually play a big factor. If you zoom in on the street lights you can see how hard it's snowing. The white on white makes it hard to see otherwise. 

9 minutes ago, Daniel Boone said:

Hopefully, that'll survive up through here. Sounds like Lee side Low at work. 

It's absolutely been pouring for about an hour or more now. When I went out and measured 6.5 inches before dark I swept the powder off my wooden walk/deck. I just measured and it has 2 inches on it since I swept it down to bare wood at about 5:15. 

https://www.resortcams.com/webcams/downtown-lafollette-tn/

Webcam of LaFollette about 3 miles SSE of me. The road looks like that even with city and state crews working them. 

It's absolutely dumping down here still. It's snowed 3/4ths inch in 30 minutes. 

3 minutes ago, Hurricaneguy said:

This ranks to me as one of biggest busts in memory for Greeneville. So frustrating especially when we see all the amazing totals from areas nearby. Would be lying if I said I wasn’t mad. 

I hate it for you guys along the mountains. There was always going to be an edge east, north and south, but I was hoping it would push across state lines and out beyond our forum area. 

I had a painful one a few years ago where the Euro was consistently showing 15 to 30 inches over me as close as 24 hours out and it barely snowed here. I believe you far eastern guys got double digit totals that day. 

7 minutes ago, Save the itchy algae! said:

How is that possible?


.

I assume that the airports in each location didn't receive much or as much as other areas. 

2 minutes ago, Dsty2001 said:

I just don't get it, even with the heavier bands we get a few minutes of big fat flakes coming down hard then it's as if the heavier bands break up over my area and it transitions back to light drizzle.  Officially throwing the towel in, travel around here is going to be treacherous though with all the water and slush freezing tonight 

Fountainguy may have hit on it with his post about the dgz being unusually high over the foothills.