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John1122

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Posts posted by John1122

  1. 6 hours ago, dwagner88 said:

    Same thing down here. I watched the storms pop up in the same areas three days in a row. Never rained more than a few drops IMBY. Some parts of town got 4"+ and flooding.

    Happened again yesterday. A very heavy shower a mile or two away and nothing here. Today a storm has popped up a couple miles north of me. Loud thunder but unlikely to rain it appears. 

    • Like 1
  2. 2 hours ago, Matthew70 said:

    This can not be good for long term effects.

     

     

    IMG_8935.jpeg

    I saw this several days ago and I'm not exactly clear what the numbers on it meant. For instance is shows 97 across the north slope and highs were in the 40s. But it has it's first ever heat advisory, because they used SPS before this year, and it was for 85 degrees, not 110.

    • Like 3
  3. It seems to come a tropical downpour here around every 2 or 3 hours, all day and all night and that forecast looks to hold through about Thursday. 

    We may get hot after that, but it's so wet, it's tough to get too hot here. It will take some soil drying to pull it off. 

     

     

  4. Looking at the 30 day forecast for the month of June on accuweather, it shows there being virtually no days above 82 the entire month after the first few days. I think it's derived from the Euro longe range products. I'd normally dismiss it as bluster but it nailed the cool May forecast from mid to late April. It had very few days with highs above 80 this month with several periods of 60s and low 70s, and thats how it played out. 

    • Like 4
  5. 13 minutes ago, midwoodian said:

    How long will the wet and cool pattern last for ETN? I was spreading mulch last yesterday until late evening and it got cold when the sun went down!!


    .

    Looks like the cool part will close out this week. 6-10 day and 8-14 favor AN temps but it looks like it may remain wet. 

    • Like 1
  6. 20 hours ago, nrgjeff said:

    Soon we are due to go negative AMO. Keep in mind soon is measured in years. Here is a smoothed chart from an energy climate page. Yes, some energy companies acknowledge it. We better, if our demand forecasts are going to be worth anything. 

    image.png.a48762b6fb8096737ad3e8d7ad5da7d8.png

    Then the PDO has been a little flaky. It faked out cool phase a few times since 2000. Will it be able to hold? Perhaps the warmer background makes it harder to stick. So, I'm very curious how the AMO goes in the coming decade. Both negative could be epic winters!

    image.png.c35466f6b8f9cd1c5c0a02b7c01d7d46.png

    Do you think they are actual oscillations still? I saw/read the study and articles stating they aren't since they can't be simulated by climate models without factoring in external forces such as volcanoes and greenhouse gasses, but climate models do simulate ENSO correctly without any other input.  The fellow who first used the term AMO now says he was wrong and that it doesn't exist, as an oscillation, nor does the PDO. 

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