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Tyler Penland

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Everything posted by Tyler Penland

  1. Blacksburg has been way behind the 8ball (as usual) with this one. When I went to bed they were still showing "nope, nothing to see here" in the grids. Sent from my SM-G930R7 using Tapatalk
  2. Maybe a little. It's nowcast time, though. Fixing to get some sleep and hope for a good day tomorrow. Best of luck to everybody!
  3. Not a bad run. You can see it here: http://meteocentre.com/numerical-weather-prediction/forecast-systems.php?lang=en&mod=ukmet
  4. I'm not. Not that extreme anyways. It showed something similar last minute during last year's storm (so sad there was only one) and we only verified with about 8". I'm hoping for 2-4" 4", anything else is bonus. Also, the RGEM and GFS keep the precip around through 18z Saturday. 3km NAM is very spotty after 8-10z or so.
  5. It's the best looking model for MBY (and ashe's). I believe I'll ride that one into the ground. Sent from my SM-G930R7 using Tapatalk
  6. Hopefully around 9 or so. They do fantastic with the roads up here. I honestly don't see the main roads being problematic until overnight Saturday and they'll be good by Sunday morning. Sent from my SM-G930R7 using Tapatalk
  7. Up here I don't expect much til 8-10AM. 7-9AM for where I write forecasts down in GA.
  8. Not to bash them (full respect for mets) but as far as for GA they're hardly accurate EVER. They've been caught behind the 8-ball with numerous smaller events the last few years, including a couple minor ice events in NE GA. They're the new FFC IMO: too conservative sometimes.
  9. It's coming to us fellas. Much improvement. Now just need the moisture to increase a tad for us near Boone and we're golden. Won't be at all surprised if that happens and WNC gets a widespread 4-6. Sent from my SM-G930R7 using Tapatalk
  10. 6z NAM/GFS both west with a better look. 12z suite will likely follow the west trend. NAVGEM refuses to budge and still shows 1" QPF for the escarpment. UK with around .4-.5" QPF across the region (seems more likely to me than the NAVGEM) with the halfway solution between the NAV and Euro.
  11. Any idea what the mean is for Boone? My phone refuses to load the meteograms on wxbell. Sent from my SM-G930R7 using Tapatalk
  12. 1) it's December 2) systems generally trend NW. Our biggest system last year was an RDU special 3 days out on the globals. I, for one, still haven't tossed this system at all. Sent from my SM-G930R7 using Tapatalk
  13. The gfs was junk. I think the ujie was over amped but don't remember for sure. Sent from my SM-G930R7 using Tapatalk
  14. I'm not kidding when I say the last run of the euro before the Jan storm last year was still under done IMBY. Didn't come around at all til the system was underway. NAM/RGEM nailed it. Sent from my SM-G930R7 using Tapatalk
  15. In the past the euro has struggled mightily with the NW extent of precip. Jan 14 and Jan 17 come to mind. Sent from my SM-G930R7 using Tapatalk
  16. 3 days out of last January's 8"-er the Euro/EPS showed me us getting around an inch with most of the snow SE. Same for the big snow the year before. We'll be fine. Euro looks good for snow from 18z Friday through 12z Saturday or so based on RH charts IMO.
  17. Euro stepped in the right direction. Couple inches at Boone out of the Friday wave. Gfs went the opposite way. Eps will be interesting. Sent from my SM-G930R7 using Tapatalk
  18. Just got home from work but the 12z EPS isn't half bad. Big difference from the 0z last night though the mean is skewed due to some whopper members. It's all about the trendzzzz.
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