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Tyler Penland

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Everything posted by Tyler Penland

  1. Tyler Penland
    Blacksburg has been way behind the 8ball (as usual) with this one. When I went to bed they were still showing "nope, nothing to see here" in the grids. Sent from my SM-G930R7 using Tapatalk
  2. Tyler Penland
    Maybe a little. It's nowcast time, though. Fixing to get some sleep and hope for a good day tomorrow. Best of luck to everybody!
  3. Tyler Penland
    Not a bad run. You can see it here: http://meteocentre.com/numerical-weather-prediction/forecast-systems.php?lang=en&mod=ukmet
  4. Tyler Penland
    I'm not. Not that extreme anyways. It showed something similar last minute during last year's storm (so sad there was only one) and we only verified with about 8". I'm hoping for 2-4" 4", anything else is bonus. Also, the RGEM and GFS keep the precip around through 18z Saturday. 3km NAM is very spotty after 8-10z or so.
  5. Tyler Penland
    It's the best looking model for MBY (and ashe's). I believe I'll ride that one into the ground. Sent from my SM-G930R7 using Tapatalk
  6. Tyler Penland
    Hopefully around 9 or so. They do fantastic with the roads up here. I honestly don't see the main roads being problematic until overnight Saturday and they'll be good by Sunday morning. Sent from my SM-G930R7 using Tapatalk
  7. Tyler Penland
    SREF mean doubled to right at 4" for Boone.
  8. Tyler Penland
    Up here I don't expect much til 8-10AM. 7-9AM for where I write forecasts down in GA.
  9. Tyler Penland
    I got a couch near Boone if you go over to rain.
  10. Tyler Penland
    Not to bash them (full respect for mets) but as far as for GA they're hardly accurate EVER. They've been caught behind the 8-ball with numerous smaller events the last few years, including a couple minor ice events in NE GA. They're the new FFC IMO: too conservative sometimes.
  11. Tyler Penland
    Check, please. Sent from my SM-G930R7 using Tapatalk
  12. Tyler Penland
    It's coming to us fellas. Much improvement. Now just need the moisture to increase a tad for us near Boone and we're golden. Won't be at all surprised if that happens and WNC gets a widespread 4-6. Sent from my SM-G930R7 using Tapatalk
  13. Tyler Penland
    6z NAM/GFS both west with a better look. 12z suite will likely follow the west trend. NAVGEM refuses to budge and still shows 1" QPF for the escarpment. UK with around .4-.5" QPF across the region (seems more likely to me than the NAVGEM) with the halfway solution between the NAV and Euro.
  14. Tyler Penland
    Any idea what the mean is for Boone? My phone refuses to load the meteograms on wxbell. Sent from my SM-G930R7 using Tapatalk
  15. Tyler Penland
    1) it's December 2) systems generally trend NW. Our biggest system last year was an RDU special 3 days out on the globals. I, for one, still haven't tossed this system at all. Sent from my SM-G930R7 using Tapatalk
  16. Tyler Penland
    The gfs was junk. I think the ujie was over amped but don't remember for sure. Sent from my SM-G930R7 using Tapatalk
  17. Tyler Penland
    I'm not kidding when I say the last run of the euro before the Jan storm last year was still under done IMBY. Didn't come around at all til the system was underway. NAM/RGEM nailed it. Sent from my SM-G930R7 using Tapatalk
  18. Tyler Penland
    In the past the euro has struggled mightily with the NW extent of precip. Jan 14 and Jan 17 come to mind. Sent from my SM-G930R7 using Tapatalk
  19. Tyler Penland
    Just wow. Perfect scenario. Total precip:
  20. Tyler Penland
    Crazy stuff.
  21. Tyler Penland
    They won't. UK looks amazing too.
  22. Tyler Penland
    Killer dry slot at 60.
  23. Tyler Penland
    3 days out of last January's 8"-er the Euro/EPS showed me us getting around an inch with most of the snow SE. Same for the big snow the year before. We'll be fine. Euro looks good for snow from 18z Friday through 12z Saturday or so based on RH charts IMO.
  24. Tyler Penland
    Euro stepped in the right direction. Couple inches at Boone out of the Friday wave. Gfs went the opposite way. Eps will be interesting. Sent from my SM-G930R7 using Tapatalk
  25. Tyler Penland
    Just got home from work but the 12z EPS isn't half bad. Big difference from the 0z last night though the mean is skewed due to some whopper members. It's all about the trendzzzz.
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