Also, there are like a zillion vorts it seems so trying to key on the right one more the a few days out seems difficult. That gif that showed the southern vort go from Amarillo to Texarkana at hour 96 (497 miles, yes I looked it up lol). That to me is a massive shift in a time frame that the euro doesn't usually do that.
Main difference i see between the Euro and GFS for the Sunday thing is the NS sw coming in through the NW. GFS is slower and dives behind the southern vort. Euro sends it in tandem over the top thus not allowing it to amplify.
Wow. Thanks for this. At 500 everything looked a tick better, but now looking at 700 and 850 you can see why it initially escapes east as those 2 levels weren't as sharp.
Maybe I'm in the minority but I thought the Nam is Worse. Progressive and more positively tilted. Snow doesnt't break out until later when it has warmed up more and the coastal is going further east.
I think the broadness is causing it to escape east initially (following convection on all models) since more energy is not consolidating at the base if it were sharper.
I think every inch helps with relation to Fridays stuff even if we miss the main coastal (very likely). I'll take positive tics the right way if it helps get friday to something like 2-4"