weatherwiz
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Everything posted by weatherwiz
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woah wtf happened to the radar
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1” down https://imgur.com/a/6zkiytc
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Now it’s dumping, snow growth improving big time. This is easily going to be 1”+ per hour stuff
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Yeah one second nothing and the next it was heavy pixie dust
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SNOW!!!! Finally!!!! it’s crappy flakes but it’s like pixie dust…heavy pixy dust
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How in the hell is it not snowing here? This is absolutely BS…this is fooked. This is highway robbery
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Not even a single flake yet
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You can probably go to bed by 2
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Still waiting here. If it’s doing anything it’s flurries. Have a kitty on my lap so can’t get up and get to the window for a closer look
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upper-level divergence is increasing and nose of strong mid-level jet streak punching in This should (hopefully aid in filling things in a bit more, especially south
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Essentially, majority of the snow really falls in a 3 hour period (like 99.9%).
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It’s mesoanalysis time -
Looks like things could aligning great for the jackpot zone area. Be fun to watch that 700-500 area of fronto continue strengthening
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I keep peeping out the window waiting to see flakes
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Seems on track to me QPF expectation wise (generally in the 0.50" range). This is hauling way too quickly for anything upwards of 0.75"-1.00", especially since the duration of enhanced lift is short. Still thinking most see 4-5" with 7-8" for those under the extra goodies longer.
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HRRR looks good and on track. But we radar and mesoanalysis now
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I don't think we'll see any lightning. Though I could be wrong...with bufkit soundings showing -40 ubar/sec into the DGZ that may be enough to net a few strikes.
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One of the most fun part of storms unfolding...the fronto maps. Our 700 fronto is starting to get cranking
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Hangs back some H7 fronto a bit longer down there?
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The GFS looks good but I don't think it's THAT amazing. It's also pretty damn close with that warm nose into southern CT. I was looking for some soundings showing some epic crosshair sigs like what the NAM had when Ryan showed...haven't been able to locate anything yet. GFS doesn't seen any more epic than other models to me.
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Hot off the presses 18z NAM bufkit for BDL. It will be RIPPING say 4-7z
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Def most of the storm is certainly done by then. I think its just more of the fact of not losing sight of it. But yeah for most of us its getting slammed by the initial burst then a rapid decrease in intensity.
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Yeah I was wondering if that dry slot would also be helping with enhanced forcing...that's a beast of a dry punch. The 12z NAM 800-600 fronto from fsu looked yummy
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ha, we may have clicked on just about the same area lol...I saw that and was like, "woah". But damn...the NAM also wants to really drive in that drier here, if you forward that 3 hours...huge difference. I get the brunt of the snow falls before that happens but this could be critical when it comes to achieving the upper end of forecast ranges.
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This is a terrible snipping tool job but hockey is about to come on so don't have time to illustrate this on a map but I would watch for two jack areas...one through south-central Connecticut and then up along MA/VT/NH border...these two zones may see totals push the 7-9" range. In between these two areas I wouldn't be surprised if 4-5" is more common. It's basically a quick hitting wall of snow then kind of poop....but it is going to be amazing under that wall.
