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weatherwiz

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by weatherwiz

  1. We've actually seen a few times this spring these cold air masses winning out...you would expect stronger sun angle and mixing to compensate but that hasn't been the case. Think maybe we have just had trouble mixing in these situations?
  2. you can't just use dewpoints alone to determine whether an airmass is dry...you gotta relate it to temperature. Dewpoints tomorrow look to be into the lower 40's...now if the temperatures were 60's...70's+ yeah it would be pretty damn dry but with temperatures into the 50's...it's not that dry...while there is some dewpoint depression there it's pretty moist in the llvls and mlvls. don't think there will be much virga tomorrow.
  3. lots of dry air??? the column is pretty saturated across the region tomorrow
  4. May even see some grauple tomorrow
  5. There's going to be many places tomorrow which struggle to probably get out of the 40's
  6. I think the majority of that is with that axis of rain/thunderstorms expected to move across PA/western NY later tonight. Tomorrow during the day we should see numerous showers pop with the steep lapse rates and residual llvl moisture around. Certainly not going to be any washouts or big rain totals but just lots of light showers...maybe even some orographic component which is kinda hinted at based on the structure of those amounts across our region.
  7. There should be numerous showers around tomorrow...especially second half of the day.
  8. I have been having this same exact problem too.
  9. That might have been the same year (2013) there was that early morning tornado in NE MA on a Sunday and another round of severe weather in the afternoon...it was the day coming back from a conference.
  10. I was always disappointed we didn't get severe weather at any of the conferences...although I think there was one year something happened...we were at least in a risk but I think everything went around us.
  11. I miss the conferences down in Baltimore. I remember one conference it was still like 91 at 12:30 AM.
  12. checking models for high CAPE in May is lots of fun hoping for convection that will be overdone Steep lapse rates arrive from the West giving the setups that are the best SPC risks of destructive winds, hail, and tornadoes say goodbye to all the tomatoes
  13. Tuesday still looking downright chilly up north. Looks like snow showers possible too...who mentioned this the other day? @powderfreak
  14. This has to be an error...all the previous projections were like 608,000 by August 1
  15. well most people drive every day so...
  16. It's like the people who wait until the day before the first snowstorm of the season to fire up the snow blower and make sure it works.
  17. Now is the perfect time to install. Why people wait until it's 90/70 out then they are drenching themselves in sweat installing. Install now, clean the filter, make sure it's running properly and boom...first hot/humid day you're good to go. And...you can get it cranking before the heat/humidity kicks in and the AC will work much more efficiently as opposed to starting it up when it's already hot/humid.
  18. Maybe we can at least get the trough to position itself to favor cold pool setups for us
  19. Haven't had good COC in a while!
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