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weatherwiz

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by weatherwiz

  1. You really can't. What I think is going to happen is (we) the people are essentially just going to end the masks. I think as we go through the next 1-2 months you're just going to see people wearing them less and less. While I'm sure there will be business who require them if less and less people wear them are businesses really going to turn people away? But I'm thinking by Memorial Day we'll see the mask mandate go bye-bye. My original thinking was maybe 4th of July but I think it will be much earlier.
  2. A nice little "pre-game" before severe weather season kicks in but looks like we'll see a low topped squall line move across much of southern New England late Wednesday afternoon and early evening. While the greatest threat for damaging wind gusts likely exists to our west (across NY and northern PA) the potential will exist for much of the region for localized embedded damaging wind gusts and perhaps even some small hail. Instability is not the driver in this event as instability will be quite marginal with temperatures only into the 60's and dewpoints in the 40's to 50's, however, the presence of steep mid-level lapse rates aloft results in modest instability (500 - 750 J/KG of MLCAPE). The driver here is strong forcing from the approaching cold front and very strong jet dynamics characterized by 50-60+ knots at 500mb and 35-40+ knots at 850mb. Fairly steep low-level lapse rates, low-level dry air, and strong LLJ will also favor embedded damaging wind gusts, likely on the leading edge of the line. With steep mid-level lapse rates and cold air aloft, small hail is also possible.
  3. For those that use bufkit has anyone ever had this problem? The slide bar to adjust time is gone...also the slide bar in the overview section is gone. Some setting must have gotten unchecked but I can find anything. I know you can use your computer arrows to adjust time but that doesn't work in the overview window
  4. well at least you would have had something to measure the snow
  5. Holy shit is it windy. Got to Windsor locks to get gas...FOOK. Saw the flag blowing like crazy. It’s freaking cold too. My credit card got stuck in the gas machine and it was miserable...being pelted by wind driven rain...I was being bent over like a small tree. Finally my card came back to me so I went to another pump...STEPPED in a puddle and fook the wind
  6. BDL is pretty sick to go to. Even UCONN hospital in Farmington is really good but that mostly looks north and east...and speaking of that Rockledge Golf Course in West Hartford which actually looks over UCONN hospital. Also next to North Branford PD...very nice open field which looks west.
  7. Thankfully there isn't a whole lot of cold air around
  8. 13 days later BIG severe weather outbreak..and a few others followed in june
  9. Maybe he can join James in writing a book
  10. Wouldn't be surprised to see accumulating snow potential across parts of northern New England mid-week.
  11. https://twitter.com/capeannweather/status/1383111321143672832?s=21
  12. Oddly shaped dry slot too which models did pretty well with. also a pretty impressive core of warmer temperatures with the 925 low...pocket of +6C popping up. Sure that is only adding to the influx of warm/moist air into the thing. Even a pocket of +3C at 850...while not much farther west -5C...that's not too bad of a E/W gradient
  13. check out these velocities feeding into the CCB. Very intense llvl jet! HRRR soundings are super unstable aloft
  14. I hate when I mistake the two. I used to almost fall out of bed thinking it was thundersnow about to run outside only for it to be a plow.
  15. I think I am going to start a new game for this summer...or it's more of an Alert. The alert is called a CAPE alert and there will be different levels. This will look at 7-days out. Depending on the CAPE levels being modeled, an appropriate index level will be assigned. Here is an example. CAPE ALERT!!!!!!!! CAPE level: (need to make this) CAPE Values: > 3,000
  16. Can I share this photo? I want to go on a rant to the point mentioned above. This is a perfect example.
  17. Two of the most ridiculous arguments in meteorology: 1) Ground is too warm 2) sun angle is too high While of course there is truth to that...you also have to understand what's an play. I can't stand when people dismiss accumulating snow right off the bat b/c of those two factors.
  18. I am shocked...but not shocked (I guess I feel indifferent) about how much sun there is in Branford right now. I am not shocked b/c the dry slot was well modeled but I am shocked at the degree of sun.
  19. what would the clown map version be for severe wx?
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