weatherwiz

I disagree with that to an extent. In fact, you could argue pattern becomes even more critical. Late June and July..we bang bang out 90 "relatively easy"...you don't need that crazy anomalous pattern or airmass...earlier than that and later than that it likely need it more. The look on the pattern (at least through the end of the month offers a much higher potential for heat against average or below-average. With the strength of the western and WAR ridge's there is plenty of room and window to pinch heat into our region. We have to solely rely on troughs to dig in and for some actual cold fronts to move through. Maybe perhaps some weaknesses develop within the WAR but as long as it stays that developed it's going to take numerous trough ejections and fronts to really weaken in.

guhhhhh BDL got to 89...let's see if they can tack on that extra degree.

You know...may need one of those suckers (either in ATL or PAC) to do that.

BDL up to 87!

@dendrite you've been warned

I think signals are increasing we tack on at least another two days towards the end of next week. signal for a trough is becoming less...looks more like a de-amplifying trough with a nice westerly mid-level flow.

I think so. Today would be #36?

BDL jumped to 84 last hour...thought perhaps they could do 85 or even 86. Assuming another 4F increase next hour that gets to 88 with another few hours of peak heating. Think 90 is well within reach

Really starting to crank in the EPAC

BDL was 80 last ob but looks like they should get into some strong heating soon so I would expect a decent jump in the next hour.

I think we do have a shot to break the record. It's going to come down to how well established any troughing to our northwest becomes. There is still a very strong signal moving forward for the western ridge and western-Atlantic ridge to significantly dominate the pattern regime across the country. However, there are also signals for more potent troughs/cold fronts to show their face in our region. I just wouldn't rule it out yet b/c there are signals for some heat to sneak into our area towards the end of next week. With how dry it is all we really need is a favorable wind direction and a pinch of the heat ridge to break off and move overhead.

Thanks. I wanted to say it was 2018. If I remember correctly, we got those last few days earlier in August? I also think June had more 90F days too...I know this year I think June had like one or two? July set a record I think with 20.

I think a few years ago BDL made a run into the 30's...I want to we may even be slightly ahead of that year too. But BDL will definitely have to hit 90 today to probably have a chance. Of course it's 7-days out but there is a window to sneak some heat in here towards the end of next week and next weekend. Could be a big difference too between NNE and SNE in terms of temps.

If shear didn't look overly strong the GoM could be of interest moving into next weekend.

Josephine was never a threat to the eastern U.S. Outside of Puerto Rico or the Virgin Islands just mostly fish fun.

Certainly could be a factor with northeasterly winds.

Oakland is one of those locations where one side of town can bake while the other side of town is like 10-15F cooler? I guess any time there would be a wind component off the bay or ocean you can forget a torch. I'm guessing a NW wind would mean less marine taint for them? I remember a while back trying to use mixing heights/bufkit to see if that provided better accuracy with temp forecasting but I remember the GFS always going crazy mix happy there and would constantly result in temperatures well into the 80's. I also wouldn't think OAK is a location that mixes very well so I've wanted to look more into if using 925mb temps could give a solid idea (to gauge the airmass in place)? Also see NAM MOS has 96 today while GFS 86 (although 3-HR high on NAM is 91). They even pulled off the 90 yesterday with partly sunny skies.

Has anyone in here ever done forecasting for the bay area in CA (Oakland, San Jose)? MOS can be pretty trash out there with temperatures...especially in anomalously warm patterns. For example, NAM/GFS had mid 70's there yesterday and they got to 90. I've tried to do a little digging into OAK and see if perhaps wind direction could be a huge influence but I didn't really find anything striking though the research was rather loose.

This is excellent advice!

Good luck! I always struggle with the notion of is it better to pay off bills or perhaps invest. I've tried to do alot of research into this and I really haven't found any conclusive evidence towards which is better. What my thinking has leaned towards is if you can pay down or pay off as many bills/debt as possible now that opens up even more room for investing down the road and also opens up much more money for yourself down the road. Others have stated...just pay the minimum on all your bills and live life lol.

ahhh thank you. This actually rings some bells now...I took accounting and several personal finance courses in high school (actually considered majoring in accounting/meteorology lol) and loved it. I now remember a discussion we had with my teachers and clearly remember him saying some accounts are financial advisors. I will look into one!

That was the reason why I wasn't completely sure of an accountant b/c it's not really tax related and was I think thinking perhaps more of a financial advisor

That's what I was initially thinking but wasn't sure if perhaps an accountant was too much above what I was looking for but it makes sense. I'll start looking around.

Random question but would your bank be the appropriate institution to contact to schedule like financial consulting/advisor (if that's the proper terms). Or what would be an appropriate party to contact? Or would you seek out someone? I have this system but for some reason something just doesn't add up and I can't figure it out for the life of me. Basically would be a person you lay out all your expenses too and provide your income, etc.

I would say Monday could sneak 90 at BDL but looks like we may see a more NE or a more easterly component to the wind. And for the end of next week let's just settle this before we have to read through pages or argument. For SNE it could be rather hot towards the end of next week and we could pump in some lower 90's...NNE would be a completely different story. So... if you live in NNE...yes refreshing or whatever word you want to use that isn't "hot" if you live in SNE...may not be done with the heat and with BDL having a shot to hit 90 today and tomorrow the record could be in jeopardy towards the end of next week