weatherwiz

People would probably hate this but like I mentioned yesterday, a Nor'easter bringing a region wide soaking wouldn't be the worst thing in the world. But lets just hope we start to flip things not too long after. I've been intrigued by this idea over the past few days and it got me thinking about what you said last week regarding there being some atmospheric hangover in the modeling from the current NAO we are in. Admittedly, I have not looked at ensembles yet and just going off some OP runs, so not sure what kind of signal the ensembles have, but just looking at the NAO forecast, there seems to be a bit of spread in the NAO forecast moving forward, but the signal is for the NAO becoming less negative over time...but if you play out the OP (GFS) that signal looks just opposite. So I am wondering if perhaps the OP might be a bit out too lunch. Looking at ensembles though would certainly help answer this question But I don't really care about that far ahead yet so haven't put any heavy detailed thought into it lol

That is one heck of an evolution to kick off May. That is a pretty nasty block and a good looking block too...that's the type of blocking we want to see in Jan/Feb lol.

Down go 9 days!

It would suck because its early May, but for those worried about dry grounds and "drought" conditions, one way to fix that is a good ole coastal. A good widespread 1-3" of rain for a day wouldn't be a terrible thing

10 days to go!!! And with that we will begin a 10 day countdown It's like the New Years countdown but much slower.

Another frosty morning

what's this accumulated supercell energy products or whatever they're called that are going around?

Yeah looking at mesoanlysis there definitely is a second weak feature about to slide through the region. Satellite does appear hopeful that perhaps we clear some behind that passage but I am worried that a combination of very cold mlvl temps + residual mlvl moisture is going to result a continuing of building cloud over. But maybe we transform from more stratus to more cumulus like

Very thick overcast making it pretty dark. Kind of reminds me of those gloomy January days when its dark out at 3:30 because of the thick overcast and sun already nearing the horizon

Looks like we miss out on at least some isolated thunderstorms tomorrow night...looks to be back over PA. Looks to be associated with the approaching warm front and some decent lapse rates/elevated instability. Nice theta-e ridge too. Maybe some upslope snows though for the southern Greens?

Pretty frosty out there this morning

AWT

maybe even kill off some ticks Reminds me of a few Aprils ago (or maybe it was early May) but we had that dome of well below average 925/850mb temps overhead and yet we where still putting out ~ average.

Outside of Monday, a part of me is inclined to tack on 3-4F to guidance next week (away from the coast). If we get sun we should have no problem mixing. I could see Tuesday end up being warmer than what is advertised and Wednesday does have some potential to be quite mild depending on timing of the system moving through. Nice battle the end of the week with higher heights trying to build in but hitting a wall

That would be a giant FU

I feel like we're going to be saying a lot of "GWDLs" next week. Sucks for those who live in doom and gloom zones. Monday sucks for all but the remainder of the week doesn't seem to terrible for us

Briefly looked into it but I don't think my girlfriend would swing that and with the Bruins playing Sunday I don't want to risk having something come up and miss any of the game. Unless I was looking wrong the prices were insane.

Hoping its more scattered showers but QPF signal is decent right now. But just showers is going to cause probably 10 accidents and unless I do a different route, form 95 a good part of the trip will be the Merritt. Unless I just do 95 to like New Haven then shoot up 91. sun is definitely going to be needed. But I think we should end up being fine...we'll have a chance to climb before we start clouding over. 50's is going to suck versus 70's and 80's but it would be worse (It will be worse for some though where there are only 40's)

If you compare to this week yeah it will suck but the upcoming stretch doesn't look terrible by any means. Different tune though for those probably closer to the coast but nothing abnormal for April really. We should at least climb to average most days or in that ballpark.

Driving down to Long Island tomorrow evening for a wedding on Saturday (I'm the best man!). Not looking forward to driving back in rain on Sunday. Might try and leave early in the morning or sleep in a bit and leave before checkout...but it depends on what time the Bruins game ends up being. Hate driving in rain...probably be like 20 accidents. At least it will be daylight

Gotta watch exactly where that boundary ends up because we may see some transient supercells along it

wouldn't be surprised to see a tornado today anywhere from central VT through central NH

AWT

Playoff hockey! Nothing like it

ahhh yes, today is the 15th. I'm a day off