weatherwiz

IMO, its much more difficult in these parts versus the PAC NW.

Just imagine the masterpiece of a symphony Beethoven could create based on the unison of hums from all of the A/C's that will be cranking full-throttle and non-stop for the next foreseeable future.

We kick off the month of July with a trough digging into the western United States and a large ridge of high pressure building into the midwestern states (I refuse to call this a heat ridge...another stupid, hyped up term) resulting in high heat and humidity building into the eastern third of the country. Here in the Northeast, we will find ourselves on the northern or northeastern periphery of the upper-level ridge. This will place us in a favor position for the advection of higher heat/humidity in the lower-levels while favoring a northwestern flow in the mid-to-upper levels. This pattern can be favorable for MCS propagation into the Northeast region as well as the advection of elevated mixed-layer plumes. In terms of severe weather potential, computer forecast models hint at some shortwave energy rounding the northern periphery of the ridge into the Northeast (uncertainty as to exactly where). With temperatures well into the 90's and dewpoints well into the upper 60's to 70's under the presence of steep mid-level lapse rates, the potential exists for moderate-to-extreme instability to develop with potential for 2500-4000 J/KG of MLCAPE with potential for 30-40+ knots of bulk shear. Should a shortwave work into this environment the potential would exist for numerous thunderstorms, including the potential for some of these to be severe with potential for damaging wind gusts, large hail, and even the potential for tornadoes if enough directional shear is present. The high heat and humidity has finally arrived

Pablo Sandoval ran faster than the board has this week

ahh yes...yeah the new site is much better. Wish it was available mobile (unless it is now)

Do you use it on pc or mobile? cod is definitely not user friendly mobile

Really? I use it all the time and haven't had any issues...outside of some instances where the NAM gets "stuck"

tickle me elmo

I do think region wide we'll be upper 80's to lower 90's and maybe even closer to 95 in the torch spots, but the most interesting aspect about the pattern is we could end up in a favorable position with respect to the ridge axis for EML advection and MCS propagation from the Great Lakes/southeast Canada!

Thank God. Its been a while day since we've had rain. Another day without rain and we'd be crying drought again

Pretty interesting/weird how the GFS blossoms QPF in the Tennessee Valley region mid-week directly under the heart of the ridge

speaking of GFS...lets hope it verifies next week. We ride the MCS train

Something to watch for sure. This setup, if verified, could argue for some flooding potential across southern CT. southern CT right on the edge of the stronger llvl jet and more robust elevated CAPE with the boundary just south. Perfect scenario for training

Stalls that cold front just to our south tomorrow evening and then either slowly lifts it back north as a warm front or just remains a stationary front with a wave developing along it. GFS has it too. Wonder if alot of this depends on MCS developing and evolution tomorrow within the midwest

Should see a few strong storms tomorrow, particularly north of the Pike. Dries out quite a bit aloft which tapers down potential aerial coverage. Too bad because shear is pretty solid for late June

Is it even possible to mix to 700mb around these parts?

Tuesday (with a high of 88) is described as "nice" while Thursday (with a high of 86) is described as hot (granted it says humid) but still lol.

hmmm well it is Colorado, maybe was trying to put an order in for edibles

TBH, I hope it does setup right over the mid-South and we end up on the eastern periphery. You could bet we would get some EML plumes advecting in at times along with some MCS opportunities...but yeah that all may get shunted towards the mid-Atlantic

The heat and humidity is coming...buckle up, settle in, and enjoy.

That was definitely cheesy...and the trailing car getting sucked away...reminded me of when you would get sucked up by that sun in Super Mario 3

Night of the Twisters was awesome, read the book too. But, wasn't this based on a "true" event? And I say "true" because the specifics/details weren't exactly based on reality but the background of the event was

I didn't even notice that Sounds like how watches work in Canada

wth is this. @OceanStWx

Lets rip in an MCS from Canada