weatherwiz
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Everything posted by weatherwiz
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Falling apart down this way, figures. -
Nice outflow on radar
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Come to daddy
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I don’t know. Not feeling too confident about it. Was really hopeful earlier but nothing really indicating. I do think we will at least see some isolated activity during the night.
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The NAM has been kicking ass this week with convection (not just these parts). NAM doing what it was designed to do! Going to be a big loss when it’s gone when it comes to convective forecasting (and CAD)
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meh that's a lot of money to look at clouds and put things out on auto
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tsk tsk, sight should have been larger to include SNE
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May be seeing lots of solar panels becoming airborne on Friday.
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Friday may even deserve its own thread. May fire one up a little later.
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Weak llvl flow but Friday has my attention on the NAM...
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I am really curious to see how it unfolds. I totally agree the rising heights are a big negative in this, on the other hand, if we are pushing MLCAPE values >2500-3000 J and get any sort of subtle energy rotating through aloft, is even subtle energy enough to set things off? I think that's why I'm intrigued in this. If we were dealing with MLCAPE that was only like 1500 I probably wouldn't be as intrigued.
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It's going to be an interesting afternoon I think in terms of convective development. Have to watch this area here. Not a ton going on right now but the NAM seems to blossom from this.
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MOS/NBM are 76/77. But I'll say they get to 78
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BDL will probably get down to 77-78
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NBM has EWR got to 84 tomorrow night BOS may get get below 80 either
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Just had thunder now
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Probably gusts 30-35. No thunder or lightning
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Really shocked the warnings got extended
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There goes the curl booo
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There's the warning
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Nice core on that Belchertown cell. 60dbz to 20K on BOX
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ahhhh...I was just thinking about this earlier and if it was MLCAPE or MUCAPE to follow...couldn't remember
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Will be interesting to see how this progresses because the stronger instability will continue building east towards the CT River along with the ridge building too
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gotta say...its a bit more unstable than models were forecasting in our region today
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yeah that complex is going to ride the instability gradient. outflow def could fire stuff up farther east
