weatherwiz
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Everything posted by weatherwiz
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Might just go to Brewster, NY today and hope to get lucky. Probably just go around 1 and wait there and then hopefully can make minor adjustments if needed but giving its a Friday and storm timing...traffic won't be fun
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We were hoping that cell would maintain as it went southeast but it weakened some.
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thinking of around the Albany area tomorrow then we'll see what happens Sunday. Back to work Monday though and started summer classes this week which have me revising my life choices so not sure how much time for chasing I'll have rest of summer unless its super local
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Chased this stuff down to near Trumbull. Decent winds along with some very heavy rain and some lightning. Saw a few good CGs and the edge of the shelf driving along Rt 8 towards Waterbury. Back to Springfield soon!
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Stopped at BDL to assess. Going to head towards Torrington
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I think there will be some storms overnight, perhaps some sort of cluster moving through. Not really liking how unenthused CAMs really are with today or even tomorrow. Lack of forcing is a big killer but I would not be shocked if we can get at least widely isolated stuff later this afternoon and if lucky, a small cluster moving through overnight.
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OMG it hasn't rained for 3 hours....must be a drought!!!!!!!!!!!
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Phil will be going crazy today
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May not have an EML but potential for steeper than usual lapse rates. This could be a significant wind event though if the strongest shear wasn’t lagging. With this said, given large CAPE and large dew point depression, there may be a nice swath of wind damage but with rapid weakening as the line enters western areas
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AWT
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Sucks the strongest shear lags behind the front Friday. but with large CAPE/a bit of an EML we could still pull off some big storms, its just they would be more pulse type and may not be organized
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Was waiting for your comment on this! Its intriguing for sure.
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ahhh yes you're right. Comes out of convection which evolves in the upper-Midwest. Certainly can work but...that is definitely more of a long shot,
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That’s a good thought. I didn’t think of that. It seems though the question is the trajectory of that shortwave diving southeast out of Canada and where the front becomes positioned. I am really intrigued by this but I hate how it’s just really the NAM that is showing a robust EML. The euro may be as well but I only have weather models so limited on euro products.
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Violence Thursday on the 18z NAM.
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Well I guess its cooler if you're going to compare 86 versus 93 lol.
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I didn't look at the AI's. I have not been particularly impressed with them lately. That seems extremely overstated to me
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Doesn't really seem like a cool(er) look to me, outside of perhaps any post fropa but we probably go right back to above average
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NAM is really aggressive with an expansive EML advecting into the region. GFS not so much. A little nervous on this because the NAM tends to overdo these, however, you throw an EML in Thursday with a shortwave trough moving through and there will be some severe storms. Lots of details to iron out these next few days!
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Could be here. Probably be evening though but can’t rule out afternoon stuff, especially west
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Thursday could be a big day
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why can't we get this
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The amount of wind we have had this spring has been absolutely annoying. It seems like every day is gusting 15-20+ mph.
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The winds along the leading edge from yesterday in New Britain
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In East Longmeadow. Nice light show
