weatherwiz

Thunder!!!

yup! Hoping to get some. Going to head out to the car in a bit and wait for them to come

Really nice batch of t'storms moving north through southern CT...should get hit here at home!!!

All these stupid issues with the NWS products are just absolutely ridiculous. It's frustrating and an embarrassment.

Severe T'storm watch southern 4 counties of CT until 4:00 EDT

A few things that may really hinder overall potential is a weakening EML and not so great llvl lapse rates. However, given the degree of forcing and llvl moisture return there's certainly going to be severe wx and a quite a bit.

Watching the snow up north later will be fun. Awesome dynamics going to be at work.

Small hail with some of the stronger storms today I would think. Localized gusts 45-55 perhaps

We could be setting the stage for a MAJOR severe wx setup in May again!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

yeah there is certainly potential for a rather extensive widespread damaging wind event...tornado potential too. Going to be tough to resolve all the details

MARGINAL RISK EXPANDED NORTH!!!!

Still looking good for a line of strong convection to move through early tomorrow afternoon. Embedded gusts 45-55 mph likely then becoming QUITE windy behind the front. ME going to get smoked too.

Need to take the mind of Corona for a bit. A vigorous piece of shortwave energy diving southeast through Canada Thursday swings a cold front through the region late morning/early afternoon. The synoptic setup presents an intriguing spring-like look. The main sfc low projected to pass through central New England prevents the warm front from lifting through the region, meanwhile a weak area of high pressure northeast of ME helps keep colder air locked in place across northern New England with colder air being reinforced by the passage of the (strong) cold front. As the shortwave amplifies upon digging through southeast Canada rather impressive dynamics develop aloft with a 500mb jet streak exceeding 120-130 knots overnight Thursday. The result from this system...a significant spring snowstorm across ME with rain and an embedded line of t'storms moving through southern New England on Thursday. While the warm front never gets into southern New England, an airmass characterized by dewpoints climbing into the mid-to-upper 40's, temperatures into the 50's, and fairly steep mid-level lapse rates (~7 C/KM) will result in modest elevated instability. This combined with the strong dynamics aloft and forcing from the cold front will result in the development of a low topped squall line which may be capable of producing localized damaging wind gusts and perhaps some small hail. Meanwhile, in northern ME a several-plus hour thump of heavy, wet snow is likely given favorable thermal profile and strong lift through the DGZ. Combination of strong winds and heavy, wet snow may result in isolated-to-scattered power outages. Given the vigorous lift with this system and influx of warmer and more moist air into the CCB, there will likely be a band of extremely heavy snow (rates 1.5''-2''/hr) which may yield a narrow band of 12-20'' of snow. Fun day in store!

yeah I think Thursday we see a line of strong t'storms move through. Was thinking of making a thread.

Can't believe we're a month away from severe wx season...insane

ONE MONTH TO GO!!!

I think beginning next year the countdown thread will be until March instead of May. Been getting a few nice events the past several years this early. Since I hold the copyright to it I can make that change!!!

Just had a nice rumble!!!!

Jus tv a warm up for severe wx season. Crazy we’re almost a month away

Yes haha

Thanks! This clarifies things a bit. I was getting lost in the discussion haha

I’m so confused right now

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I think Will and Scott have briefly mentioned that it does seem to be running low now but your point is very valid

I feel likE if a high risk was coming there would have been an MCD