weatherwiz

Best CAPE we've had all summer today. SBCAPE: 4000-4500 J/KG MLCAPE: 2500-3000 J/KG LI: -8 to -9 Too bad shear wasn't stronger with a more potent system moving through BOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO

Decent lapse rates, both mid-level and low-level, combined with adequate shear, and mixed-layer CAPE 2500-3000 J/KG...there will be some nasty cells today. EDIT: whoops, thought I was in the main thread

I can hear some thunder from that

"Well what's that rumbling, is that thunder?" "No, it's just highway traffic"

I said someone's backyard was going to get it hahahaha

Verbatim that would be some big winds for coastal Maine

Absolutely agreed - the analysis is great. Sometimes the level of IMBY'ism and just the general "we have no shot" or it's going to hit" us posts can get too overwhelming (and not just in this case of tropical, but winter too. Even in the case of Lee, even if it has a 0.05% chance to hit us - the discussion and analysis is great because it's discussion and analysis what's drive learning and understanding. Now some people don't care about the learning and understanding - but ultimately that's what this place is for.

Social media - particularly the media outlets have pretty much married the Euro over the last decade. Not sure if it was Sandy or something else that drove it but media outlets drool over the Euro.

It's one thing to discuss all probabilities and potential outcomes on the board (even ones that may be outlandish) but some of what is going on around social media is ridiculous. There are just some things you don't mention or say publicly - but of course views, clicks, and follows are the most important thing in the world.

I think today could include an area slightly more east than yesterday. Might have a decent differential boundary setting up from western Mass through western CT

Our backyards

Should be tracking the severe weather potential today.

Looks like 140+ NW eyewall?

yeah probably for the red spot on Jupiter

You have to figure this has to start undergoing an ERC soon...

We have data! This is wild...holy shit

Yeah can't imagine it being fun. Glad they're alright. Was actually a little concerned for a bit.

Haven't seen any updates in a while. Been like 20 min

This is pretty jaw dropping

The GFS can have a massive mixing bias. This past week the GFS was going bonkers within the central states through the Ohio Valley. There were some locations GFS was spitting out like 97 and the NAM was 86 and NBM like 89

Should be some nasties around tomorrow

Anyone who thinks it was a cool summer spent too much time inside with the AC on too cold.

Looks better west...that updated seemed quite aggressive to me.

A perfect time for big heat...lets crank those SSTs back up along the coast

Thanks!