weatherwiz

I haven't see this talked about much but what I think is really going to be a killer in this is going to be areas of major subsidence. I've always been fearful we see a banded precipitation field given how intense the low becomes, but none of the simulated radar reflectivity's have shown this. However, I think it's kind of evident in looking at the fronto banding signatures. Ultimately what will happen is there will be spots which make out beautifully and score in the upper end of ranges and there will be spots which struggle to even get to the lower end. No way to really paint that on a map either

Hellebuyck is the MVP, 1st Star, 2nd Star, and 3rd Star

SCORE!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

That's what I'm thinking. It's very bizarre.

The mid-levels don't really look terrible...I mean just from looking at them I would think higher QPF but who knows. There are so many processes going on as the low rapidly develops and strengthens there is so much to truly factor in

Flood gates have opened for bridge jumping to commence

That is extremely ugly...wow

The games have been absolutely phenomenal but to decide 3-3 is maddening. Imagine if NHL did 3-3 OT in playoffs?

3-3 OT in Olympics, particularly for a medal is absolutely insanely ridiculous

so many chances on both sides. what incredible PK by the US...whew

maybe it's me being a weenie but based on the mid levels I would absolutely bet QPF ends up being much higher across Connecticut. Unless things really do shut off that quickly but that mid level evolution and low tracks seem pretty prime to me for CT

I am inclined to side with this as well. I mean it does make sense if it occludes too quickly but you still have a good deal of 700mb VV on the northwest side of the low back across CT late Monday morning while NAM is winding down. I still think models are shutting things down a bit too quickly

That is going to absolutely crush from BOS down through Hartford into Southwest CT

That is going to be some absolutely epic banding

Absolutely salivating looking around at soundings. This one is New Haven, CT from 6z NAM

General line expanded north!!!!

That happened to me once I think in 2008. We were having a morning severe event (I think it was the day of the Swanzey, NH F2. I stayed up for like 2 days in a row excited for that morning and fell asleep as things were starting and I missed 1"+ hail at my house

I don't know if any of us can go that long without seeing the SREFs

Ahhh yes I see it now.

My initial thought was something along those lines but the soundings are absolutely nuts. Kind of reminds me of 2013 when we were seeing radar returns like that but it was all snow

This is absolutely disgusting on the Cape. That's 40+ dbz

ka-boom

the banding

I still think the models are breaking that down a bit too quickly

Gotta show some love to the WSSI