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weatherwiz

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by weatherwiz

  1. weatherwiz
    Wtf
  2. weatherwiz
    15% chance of seeing a damaging wind event within 25 miles of any point…based on the storm reports I’d say the slight verified
  3. weatherwiz
    Will rapidly flipping a light switch count?
  4. weatherwiz
    Yeah the only way we'd ever probably see one is with a full fledged derecho, but then again, how often do we ever see SPC go high risk for damaging winds alone? I can't even remember the last time there was a 60% hatched wind area by the SPC lol.
  5. weatherwiz
    saw that popup on Radarscope...looks like very close to downtown maybe even the mall area? Wouldn't have wanted to be on that stretch of 84 when those cells were moving through. I'd be shocked if there isn't an accident on the highway there
  6. weatherwiz
    I have to say...the little time I've started using the RRFS it doesn't seem any better. Not sure how accurate it is but it seems they struggle with convection in these very high PWAT/dewpoint airmasses.
  7. weatherwiz
    The HRRR needs to be retired...yet another abysmal job.
  8. weatherwiz
    That has a little wind core too. If forcing was probably a bit more or we had a bit stronger of a llvl flow we'd probably be looking at multiple areas of concentrated wind damage.
  9. weatherwiz
    Gotta love dews spiking well into the 70's. Given how easy we seem to get dews like this now I wonder if we can ever time an EML/front with dews like this. I've always been skeptical of whether we would ever see a high risk within the Northeast again but that would probably do the trick.
  10. weatherwiz
    That may be dropping some hail western part of Waterbury
  11. weatherwiz
    well this might actually have a shot at verifying based on the look of the cell over Waterbury
  12. weatherwiz
    I have an updraft basically right overhead
  13. weatherwiz
    I think this activity is trying to organize into a line across southern Mass based off satellite so he may have a good shot.
  14. weatherwiz
    Another splitting supercell in southeastern Litchfield County
  15. weatherwiz
    This stuff could take off in CT (particularly south and east of Hartford) but the sfc winds are turning westerly quickly. But those dews in southern CT are pretty wild. Also have to watch between BDL/Enfield. Looks like we're starting to see an increase in vertical growth finally
  16. weatherwiz
    Stuff too early today so no BDL for me
  17. weatherwiz
    Great insight...I was looking at KDP and noticed the core but didn't have the in-depth knowledge of what was ongoing. If this thing is able to get more vertical growth it could become quite nasty. It's also starting to bow out a bit. Not a ton of lightning yet (per Radarscope) so kind of watching to see if we get any increase.
  18. weatherwiz
    there's the warning...right on que
  19. weatherwiz
    It's not far off probably from producing severe wind gusts by the time it gets to Tyringham. Probably needs a warning in a few scans
  20. weatherwiz
    Thought we could see that potential today given forecast hodos yesterday.
  21. weatherwiz
    I would be working outside today if not for the risk for storms too early in the afternoon. Outside with a laptop and electrical wires if a storm quickly popped up...not good.
  22. weatherwiz
    may already have a low topped supercell entering Berkshire County
  23. weatherwiz
    For pretty weak llvl winds the clouds are moving along a bit...weird. Not sure quickly but definitely notable for what mesoanalysis is showing. Must be driven by increasing winds in the upper-lower troposphere and mid-levels. Probably help yield some transient supercell structures if we can get anything good to fire
  24. weatherwiz
    A nice CU field building on satellite though but struggling to get much vertical development. Actually have some nice towers looking outside
  25. weatherwiz
    Yup...most models really nailed that yesterday. Far southeast Mass and the Cape still have a shot to get crushed if activity can organize dropping southeast. 1200 J of DCAPE there per mesoanalysis...not too shabby.
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