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weatherwiz

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by weatherwiz

  1. So far only see a rain shaft. Haven’t seen any lightning. That’s not encouraging
  2. I get so upset the rest of the day when I do. You have to go at like 7 PM. I’m just going to go to big y after. but might have a shelf developing with that leading cell!!
  3. SCREW COSTCO. Place was a disaster. Was going to just sit in the parking lot and wait for storms but cell service was awful so I elected to go to BDL…getting out of the parking lot was an absolutely miserable experience and getting to the highway sucked. But I made it to BDL!
  4. The HRRR is making my life very difficult. I would love for good storms to end up through BDL but I have to go from Branford to Costco in Enfield then to Springfield and then figure out from there. But with how slow people walk in Costco and the 8 million people there I'll be in there for 8 hours.
  5. wow that is intensifying quickly. that's a nice inflow notch
  6. We might be in business for later...impressive CU field blowing up over SW NY
  7. The dew trends have been interesting. It still seems though that the HRRR is a bit off with the dews but it does increases dews later this afternoon/early evening (as you'd expect) and that's when it kind of generates more precip. Also wondering if maybe we dry things out a bit too much in the mlvls. It's going to be interesting to see how things unfold later this afternoon.
  8. We may actually get screwed down here. Dews are dropping behind that feature moving through...unless they rebound
  9. Looks like we should be solidly above average, even behind any FROPAs...the only thing we'll noticeably have is a brief period of lower dews. People could call this cheap or whatever because it could be alot of 90/91's but some of the typical torch spots will have a good shot to rack up some 90's over the next few weeks. A quick glimpse of the pattern too should yield hope for MCS potential but we probably get screwed and everything goes from northern Plains, upper-Midwest, Ohio Valley
  10. Is this like a weak pre-frontal trough or something? Looks like it on WV or some weak embedded shortwave trough ahead of the larger s/w trough
  11. I wonder if we get a bit of shortwave subsidence? Maybe thats why some of these HRRR runs and latest 3km are meh.
  12. I'd watch closely. It looks like there is some sort of boundary across Connecticut...south-central Connecticut
  13. Anyone think Costco's will be open tomorrow? Want to try and go chasing after work but I need to go to Costco
  14. This could also scale back the upper end of heat potential Monday
  15. HRRR seems wonky with the dews...wonder if thats why?
  16. Connecticut (particularly along and southeast of 84) and Rhode Island should be prime today
  17. Not entirely shocked at the slight risk designation. We've had some worse setups get a slight risk designation That is a really well-defined s/w trough moving into the region with good height fields and increasing dynamics with cooling aloft. I would be shocked if storms aren't numerous tomorrow and evolve into multiple short-line segments or clusters
  18. the is one strong shortwave digging through tomorrow for early July. Convection (CONVECTION NOT SEVERE) should overperform. Thought maybe convergence could be a little meh but it doesn't seem bad. What we really need to watch are dews...if we can pool dews another 3-4F that would make things a bit more interesting for some localized severe weather.
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