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weatherwiz

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by weatherwiz

  1. weatherwiz
    speak for yourself :p
  2. weatherwiz
    Is this a staple of transitioning from a stronger Nino episode to a Nina? It just seems very bizarre how there is such little model-to-model and run-to-run agreement or consistency. I know this can happen during the warmer months due to convection which can throw things out of whack but I can't recall seeing it this head scratching.
  3. weatherwiz
    Actually even a bit of a "sunrise surprise" scenario across southern CT, RI, and SE MA. Some decent llvl instability with steep lapse rates and adequate shear present. Nice surge of theta-e air.
  4. weatherwiz
    A few weeks back I thought the NAM was out-to-lunch and got taken to school...this time I'm going to buy the NAM and it will probably be wrong.
  5. weatherwiz
    Wouldn't mind a decent rain tonight/tomorrow to hopefully clear out some of the pollen.
  6. weatherwiz
    I legit can't believe we're seeing something like this again
  7. weatherwiz
    Agreed, I don't think it's a true ring of fire setup. I think though temperatures would be much warmer and dewpoints much higher than you would first expect just looking at the H5 configuration.
  8. weatherwiz
    I think Kevin is in the ballpark with that statement. Pre FROPAs it could be very warm and humid given instances of riding at 850 with the ridge axis just off the coast so we would see a SW llvl flow. This is the kind of look which can be exciting in terms of thunderstorm potential. With a W/NW flow aloft and a more SW flow in the llvls.
  9. weatherwiz
    We'll see what happens. The GFS and Euro want to build substantial ridging into the West and some deep, anomalous troughing across the Ohio Valley into the Northeast. Looking at today's 12z Euro/GFS they are in pretty damn good agreement in the extended range on how the pattern evolves. Looks like both continue to highlight the PNA/EPO/Arctic teles as playing significant roles in the pattern going through June...pretty weird.
  10. weatherwiz
    I guess we can hope that heat ridge over Mexico will build north into the center of the country or perhaps even better, build into the Missouri/Ohio Valley.
  11. weatherwiz
    It's been a wild few weeks for them. I bet power outages are close to 1,000,000 now. I think Poweroutages.us updates every 15 min so I bet next update in a few min is close to 1,000,000
  12. weatherwiz
    Houston about to get rocked again
  13. weatherwiz
    maybe the tree will get hit by lightning tomorrow
  14. weatherwiz
    Should see some hailers around tomorrow. Best chance maybe south towards the coast.
  15. weatherwiz
    Page 50 on May 20 He said caution Sunday and Monday. Said wouldn't be surprised if Monday is the worse but watch the progression of the warm front Sunday (how close it gets). That's a damn good call one week out.
  16. weatherwiz
    Scott definitely said Saturday/Sunday were great and hedged caution for Monday (though he did express some concern for Sunday which was very fair at the time).
  17. weatherwiz
    Unfortunately no hot tub here. It is something I want to invest in though once my gf and I move into CT.
  18. weatherwiz
    Now this is a 10/10 day given we have humidity! Beautiful day to sit outside with some water, coffee, and tequila soda to stay adequately hydrated.
  19. weatherwiz
    I wish the Bruins were in the EC Finals. I’d watch the game outside naked with just a jersey in front of a file
  20. weatherwiz
    I can’t stand seltzer…gross
  21. weatherwiz
    Gotta say…these aren’t bad at all. Very refreshing
  22. weatherwiz
    That's some intense wording from the D2
  23. weatherwiz
    I am not sure we will see the sfc warm front make much progress into SNE. It may get held way back across NY/PA. I'm not even sure if we have a shot for thunderstorms with the current look. Don't even see any elevated CAPE getting into the region.
  24. weatherwiz
    The breeze is a bit much but this is phenomenal. Would be 10/10 perfect if not for the breeze (or if it was lighter anyways).
  25. weatherwiz
    I just really hope the extended GFS is out of whack. It's been doing some funky stuff in the medium-to-long range lately. Not sure if its just behind with the seasonal transition or just struggling to handle (putting too much weight) on some of the teleconnectors which should be losing weight on the overall pattern, structure, and evolution.
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