weatherwiz

Winter is more tolerable with snow. I get why people hate snow (outside of weather weenies), it's a nuisance and can be disruptive but winter by itself, without snow, sucks. I get in the summer when it is oppressively hot and humid you can't do any activity outside very long, but at least you can find ways to enjoy yourself or at least just relax. What can you do outside in winter (ski/snowboard if you're into that) but its not like you can just post up in your lawn chair outside when its 30F.

WTF, that's ridiculous. I'd go off on that camp. I worked as a camp counselor for about 8 years and the camp was 95% outdoors. I always made sure there was at least one water cooler at every outside station and made sure they got re-filled. When we had the most oppressive days, we made sure to limit strenuous outside activity and be in the shade as much as possible.

Lots of confused people in here the past few pages. Don't even know where to begin

Yeah I don't see much indicating we'll be cloudy or predominately cloudy Saturday, outside of some high clouds streaming in. However, there may be an opportunity for some llvl clouds may scouting southern areas?

Beyond Tuesday next week looks pretty active with unseasonably strong mlvl flow and multiple shortwaves traversing it. It should be quite humid as well, probably oppressive dewpoints returning. No EMLs likely next week but definitely some severe weather potential mixed in, especially with any stronger shortwaves mixed in.

Missed out on everything to my north yesterday and then south. Got to Middletown, CT to get the dog like 5:45ish. There was some cool mammatus clouds overhead. When they were helping us get the dog into the car there was a bight flash of lighting and loud rumble of thunder...that was the extent of the storms for me. As we were driving south that is when the storms were moving across Mass. Then of course, the night stuff was southern CT.

about on schedule

May end up driving through stuff later this afternoon along the traveling of 91 journey. Our dog can finally come home today (still is unable to walk or have movement in his back legs) and its off to a long road of rehab and time. Hoping I can perhaps get home before everything and not have to be traveling on the highway during it.

I was waiting for the 2% TOR

Strong heating is going to be a key today given the very poor mid-level lapse rates and the warm mid-level temperatures. Low-level lapse rates aren't too bad (7-7.5 C/KM) with RAP even generating pockets of 8 C/KM. This isn't bad when looking for wind potential, however, 2-6km lapse rates need some work. Wind shear is more than sufficient (30-40 knots of effective/bulk shear) to get storms to organize. Getting dewpoints more in the 73-74F range would go along ways, however, not sure if we see much dew point pooling today. Basically this would be a difference between more localized severe and something more along the lines of a swath of wind damage reports.

GFS looks to hang the front up a bit...could result in another chance for showers and thunderstorms tomorrow along and south and east of 84 corridor.

That would be 8:00 PM local time. But when we switch clocks in November 0z will become 7:00 PM local time. 0z HRRR would typically start running like 7:52 PM

I saw BWI got to 104 yesterday

I never really liked Hammonasset. It's been some years since I've been but its beyond crowded. Not a place if you're looking for relaxation.

There's one in Miilford (Silver Sands or something) which isn't a terrible beach. It gets super crowded. The water can be ehhh but during the low tide cycle there is a small little "island" you can walk out too. Just have to be aware though because once high tide starts kicking back in, if you're not a strong swimmer...better start hauling.

usually starts running about 6-7 minutes before the hour. We're onto 13z run now

There is a private beach in Clinton, CT (its free for Clinton residents but non-residents its like $50...but that was several years ago) that is pretty decent. Very quiet and relaxing, they have a few shops too open during the summer.

This is cool

Crazy cool looking sky. Reminds me of Independence Day when the flying saucer comes over DC and the white beam comes out and lights everything up

Just got backed to Springfield. Too late to do any chasing, was hoping more would develop on the southern flank.

Can’t always get what you want

yeah not good at all. If you still plan on going make sure you have cover quickly available. Have to worry about any CGs out ahead of the line.

That is a monster bow taking shape.

strengthening wind field associated with the approaching shortwave/mcv. The sfc wind direction may limit the extent farther east, but if winds start backing with time there may be enhanced potential in the valley

agreed, this is setting up to be a biggie. Despite the linear mode, I think tornado potential is being downplayed somewhat.