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weatherwiz

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by weatherwiz

  1. weatherwiz

    New England Convective Discussion

    Going to be a tight window but it could be pretty widespread...even despite the weak mid-level lapse rates. Not to beat the bat with the dead horse, but if we are able to get 2500 J/KG of MLCAPE...I think that's the magic value. Where's @OceanStWx been????????????
  2. weatherwiz

    New England Convective Discussion

    yes, I think so. I think our best window is early on...so we're going to want to start with sun...I don't think we need a ton of sunshine so we don't need sunny skies...but we want to get MLCAPE over 2000 and 3km CAPE over 125 J...and maybe we could get away with closer to 100 J of 0-3km CAPE.
  3. weatherwiz

    New England Convective Discussion

    storm motion actually looks like it might be with the flow too so that could decrease tornado potential
  4. weatherwiz

    New England Convective Discussion

    Really about as as good as it gets around here. One downside is above 1km winds are mainly unidirectional so any tornado potential will be confined to discrete cells...and the window for these may be small. Anyways, we could see a few wet microbusts tomorrow
  5. weatherwiz

    New England Convective Discussion

    ORH county NE into southern NH may be in a maximized zone for tornado potential tomorrow...obviously assuming the NAM is handling things correctly. This is what I' thinking... If we are able to see 2000-2500 MLCAPE...it will be a pretty big event. I want to see bufkit soundings and see what is has for 0-3km CAPE but if we can get around 125-150...that will be pretty eye opening
  6. weatherwiz

    New England Convective Discussion

    The NAM is a legit tornado threat tomorrow. Not sure how big the window is...might be small...it's also a highly complex set-up
  7. weatherwiz

    New England Convective Discussion

    The NAM looks solid out your way. Another chapter to James book coming?
  8. weatherwiz

    New England Convective Discussion

    I think I should be in excellent position to get out west within the next few years. I think come 2021 I will be eligible for two weeks of vacation and by that point I'll have a few big bills paid off so I can put aside a decent amount of money. I've even thought about holding off until later in the summer...everyone gets so pumped for the spring and you get all the chaser convergence but August can offer up some pretty awesome severe chances out that way...this time of year can be rather underrated.
  9. weatherwiz

    But light999 9999999999999999999

    Guessing the high heat/dews finally got to the OP
  10. weatherwiz

    But light999 9999999999999999999

    wtf????
  11. weatherwiz

    New England Convective Discussion

    Not sure if you’re on Facebook but there is a group called New England Storm Chasers...some nice pics of it on there!
  12. weatherwiz

    New England Convective Discussion

    I just missed a better one where’s it was about 3-4 CG’s at once
  13. weatherwiz

    New England Convective Discussion

    Sun to the west and CGs to the SE!
  14. weatherwiz

    New England Convective Discussion

    Well that was amazing! Time to head home
  15. weatherwiz

    New England Convective Discussion

    Sun coming out to the west now heavy rain, CG’s, loud booms wow!!
  16. weatherwiz

    New England Convective Discussion

    That wind shift was wild...rain was blowing from my behind to my front and then it all of a sudden went from my front to my behind
  17. weatherwiz

    New England Convective Discussion

    Just had a big wind shift
  18. weatherwiz

    New England Convective Discussion

    Gotta be gusting 35-40
  19. weatherwiz

    New England Convective Discussion

    Oh...big winds now. Wow
  20. weatherwiz

    New England Convective Discussion

    Overwhelmed my arm pits. I guess winds are decent...but nothing crazy. No hail
  21. weatherwiz

    New England Convective Discussion

    Actually might be body odor...I am sweeting a ton
  22. weatherwiz

    New England Convective Discussion

    I smell something burning. I think lightning hit my car or something close
  23. weatherwiz

    New England Convective Discussion

    Finally the rain haha. Let’s get some hail!!!
  24. weatherwiz

    New England Convective Discussion

    Almost too much to handle...CGs everywhere, shelf clouds, gust front, loud booms, thought there was a brief wall cloud..strikes all around me holy shit
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