calculus1

Bit of an over-performer today in the rainmaker department. Yesterday, my P&C forecast was for less than a tenth of an inch. This morning, the P&C said between a tenth and a quarter of an inch. As of 9:20 AM, I sit at 0.53 inch in the rain gauge. Maybe a sign of things to come for winter? Regular over-performers? One can hope...

Exactly 1.50 inches from today's rain. Nice! Sent from my moto e5 supra using Tapatalk

Low of 18 IMBY this morning! Wow!

Great work, Grit. I'm glad you decided to go ahead and post another outlook. Get back up and try again! [emoji16] Sent from my moto e5 supra using Tapatalk

ASU with 2 wins (count 'em! - UNC & USC) over Power 5 conference schools! What might have been had they not screwed up against GSU last week? Anyway, Go App! Sent from my moto e5 supra using Tapatalk

Ray's Weather Fearless Winter Forecast: asheweather.com/public/FearlessForecast.pdf

It was 32.4 F when I left the house this morning. It might have dropped to hit freezing following that, but I won't know until I get home later to check. Chilly!

Finished up with 3.95 inches of rainfall storm total. Very nice! Temp is dropping quickly. In the 40s here in Hickory now.

Ended up with 1.81 inches prior to midnight. I have since recorded another 0.95 inch since then. This is a long duration soaking rainfall. Much needed after recent dry weather. Sent from my moto e5 supra using Tapatalk

1.75 inches of rainfall so far today IMBY. This is most welcome. And, it looks like further heavy showers are approaching my doorstep.

0.42 inch of rainfall today IMBY in Hickory. Lovin' it. Sent from my moto e5 supra using Tapatalk

Perfect! We're already anticipating the NW shift. [emoji16] Sent from my moto e5 supra using Tapatalk

Same here in Hickory. Amazing lightning show all around. Very vivid CTG lightning strikes between 4:30 - 5:00 PM.

Here's hoping the GFS is wrong, as it often is... On the other end of the spectrum, I got to visit the Wind River Range in Wyoming the week before last. The first morning I was there, my Kestrel read 37 F as the low temperature in the morning. Every other morning was in the low 40s. It's amazing what elevation and latitude can do when working together. Loved it! It would be hard to beat western Wyoming for summer weather. The high prairie is above 6000 feet everywhere, there are hardly any people around, and the mountains are spectacular. I got to backpack through several snow fields too. Christmas in July!

This is one time when I wish you had been wrong, grit.

^Those are truly beautiful, eyewall! Thanks so much for sharing. Number 2 is my favorite, and then number 3. I just made that second picture my desktop background. It's beautiful!

Here comes the heat... Ugh.

I'm at Lake Lure this weekend, but watched that radar signature closely. Fortunately, it weakened considerably before it passed over my house. Sent from my moto e5 supra using Tapatalk

We get it. You've got the weather all figured out, and we are stupid for even enjoying a chase that might not pan out. Come on, man. It's a weather board. And, more than that, it's a snow-lovers board. We are going to talk about what the models show and what might happen, and I won't apologize for that. If it doesn't snow, life will go on. If it does snow, I will enjoy it (just like the anticipation), even if it only falls from the sky and never actually accumulates.

The 06Z 12Z NAM was very friendly to upstate SC with a 7-inch lollipop of snowfall. We now have a HWO for up to one-half-inch of snowfall tomorrow morning. Crazy, but lovin' it! Sent from my moto e5 supra using Tapatalk

The 00Z 12K NAM does not disappoint! A nice 6-inch swath of snowfall from Charlotte to Greensboro! Upstate SC gets 1-3 inches. Also, the afternoon discussion from GSP was priceless. Check it out if you haven't seen it yet. Sent from my moto e5 supra using Tapatalk

Yeah, look at the classic LP placement on the 12Z ICON:

Oh, come on! =) You know everyone pulls for snow in their own backyards. It doesn't mean I hate people that live in eastern NC or anything. If you guys get snow out of this, I will enjoy seeing your pictures, just as I did when the posters from Jacksonville, NC, shared a few weeks back. I also think it's more likely (see earlier post) that you will see snow out of this than I will. Anyway, I pull for snow IMBY every month of the year -- January - December. Those of you pulling for spring to prevail now that we are in late March don't march to the beat of the same drum as do I. The advent of spring only means that summer (and the awful heat and humidity) will shortly be here. Ugh! Winter is coming...

True. There is that option. I don't think either one is likely, though -- westward trend or expansion of coverage. I think you stand the best chance of getting something in your backyard if you live to the north and east of Raleigh in this setup. But, who knows? We'll keep watching...

Just need that westward trend... [emoji16] Sent from my moto e5 supra using Tapatalk