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Floydbuster

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Everything posted by Floydbuster

  1. Floydbuster
    I know. Everything was completely professional and fine until our moderator Liz Warren went all crazy on pronouns like a college girl.
  2. Floydbuster
    Oh good lord. Now hurricanes are gender neutral. Hurricane Pat. There, feel better, Mappy?
  3. Floydbuster
    I can't believe these kids on other forums. We have an organizing 75 mph hurricane and they're acting like it's not bad because it hasn't exploded into a Cat 5 yet. This is what happened when you're born into a post-Katrina world, believing every storm reaches 175 mph.
  4. Floydbuster
  5. Floydbuster
    The EURO shows a hurricane barreling towards the Bahamas by Sept 3rd.
  6. Floydbuster
    I was thinking the same thing. I was watching the long-range Tallahassee radar and I swear I saw the center racing towards the panhandle.
  7. Floydbuster
    Anyone see the ICON makes Laura 225 mph at landfall?
  8. Floydbuster
    Wow, the NHC is talking about how Marco may dissipate without ever making "landfall". Crazy.
  9. Floydbuster
    The media is gonna be premature in their pants over this. Hopefully it's not as bad as it looks like it might be.
  10. Floydbuster
  11. Floydbuster
    Marco's intensity will have downstream implications on Laura. A stronger Marco could help erode the ridge slightly in the short term so Laura might pull closer to the Keys.
  12. Floydbuster
    I'd go ahead and name it. Can't be any worse than Hurricane Barry 2019.
  13. Floydbuster
    Wouldn't a hurricane coming from this tear apart any system (TD-13) to it's east?
  14. Floydbuster
    Serious question: Why do you seem so negative about the chances of 97L and (in particular) 98L? The National Hurricane Center is giving them both almost "certain" development chances, and technically they could both wind up becoming hurricanes. In fact, I think 98L is our most likely contender for the first major hurricane of the year. The wave over Africa is also moving off at just the right time. Last 10 days of August, MJO moving into favorable phase, rapidly decreasing wind shear conditions, increasing upper-level divergence and low level convergence. Significant moisture leaving Africa compared to the dustbowl we saw last month. So why so negative? I could understand if it were July and the SAL was everywhere, but these models are pretty damn tight for 5-7 days out, and that track in late August in a season like this screams major hurricane.
  15. Floydbuster
  16. Floydbuster
    That CMC run is terrifying.
  17. Floydbuster
    I trust the GFS like I trust polling. It's been off recently, even the EURO hasn't been great with genesis. That being said, now the EURO shows these systems doing something, which is adding to my concern that these systems may become significant tropical cyclones.
  18. Floydbuster
    There's alot of haters on this forum the last few days who have been really against this system. I see steady organization, and evidently so does the NHC.
  19. Floydbuster
    Now an invest area, 97L.
  20. Floydbuster
  21. Floydbuster
    NHC now up to 40% for both.
  22. Floydbuster
    Well the GFS now shows it becoming a hurricane striking the Yucatan and Mexico in 8-10 days, too. So you have the CMC, GFS and ICON. I'm just trying to put all the cards out on the table. I did say "for what it's worth".
  23. Floydbuster
    For what it's worth, the ICON model now also shows our two new hurricanes, one rapidly strengthening crossing Western Cuba (similar path to Charley) and the other gradually strengthening moving through the Leeward Islands.
  24. Floydbuster
    The CMC seems to be picking up on the weak wave in the Central Atlantic, as it enters warmer waters and a more moist environment. Shows it becoming a hurricane striking Southwest Florida in a week or so. The wave leaving Africa now becomes another hurricane striking the Virgin Islands. It's possible, there are definite entities there right now, and both are looking slightly more organized today.
  25. Floydbuster
    The NOGAPS makes Kyle a 958 mb Braveheart-Superstorm near Ireland in a few days.
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