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OceanStWx

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by OceanStWx

  1. Yeah I just bought 100% neem oil and a gallon sized pump sprayer so I can maneuver the nozzle around to the underside of the leaves. My plan is to use neem solution the rest of this year, root soak early next spring, and then keep treating with the neem solution through the rest of the year. If that doesn't work I'll probably move to the systemic stuff. But I have 3 azalea now and 2 Japanese Andromeda and they are all suffering from varying degrees of infestation.
  2. They are not eating the leaves, but sucking the sap out. So they are turning white (and leaving eggs and poop on the undersides). They are not green in color but very light with brown spots. Definitely lacebugs.
  3. I got a root soak with imidacloprid for long term control. I don't like going with something that can affect pollinators, but I'm also not willing to lose hundreds of dollars in shrubs. Given that I'm not spraying it that should mitigate any collateral damage.
  4. Anyone have any tips for lacebug infestations? They've found all of my azaleas and both lily of the valleys. It's bad enough that I don't think a simple horticultural oil to control the eggs is going to be enough.
  5. Meh, let's let the verification process play out before it's called a total bust. 15 foot surge a few miles west indeed may have been an entirely different story and death toll, but it looks like it largely hit unpopulated swamp evolved to absorb that kind of surge. But that type of storm surge is indeed nearly impossible to ride out. I'm really not bent out of shape about the wording, I have more issues with how we do surge forecasting.
  6. Storm mergers can be amazing things. Looks like an initial supercell merged with another cell father west and that kicked off new meso development and essentially a HP wind bag. That RFD meant business.
  7. You can even see it really surge out now that it hit the lower friction Sound.
  8. This is probably the most important point. It's probably going to need to do it soon if it's going to reach Cat 5, because the deep core convection is starting to interact with land and shear is increasing on the west side. They've got flights in there until landfall though, so we should know with a fair amount of certainty if it does or not.
  9. Yeah it's far away, but it's still at the upper end of what has been sampled on radars before. Not playing around with this one.
  10. There is definitely a bias towards the CAPE side since that's the easy one to get over the threshold, but overall it does a fair job for areal coverage.
  11. You would need an area of 45% hatched winds, which is probably a little too much to ask out of this event. I could see 45% wind, but hatched may be a stretch.
  12. I'm not entirely surprised to see that composite go high. All guidance agrees on one thing: where the warm front settles will be a focus for severe weather. They differ a little on placement, but the evolution is quite consistent.
  13. In fairness, the "unsurvivable" is coming directly from the NHC. You can argue whether that's hype or not, but it's not the result of media blowing it out of proportion. I would say it's a pretty small list of NWS offices this vulnerable to storm surge.
  14. Even that inverted BDL sounding still has 1100 J/kg MUCAPE available.
  15. It's a tough set up, not really a broad threat area but concentrated near the warm front wherever it ends up. Check out the differences between BDL and JFK. Neither of those is going to pop storms.
  16. Same thing happened to me (after the bastards got me and the mower). Fired off a can of raid into the swarm origin point and sometime in the next 48 hours something found the free meal and dug up the rest of the nest.
  17. I kind of feel that way about all my home improvement projects. Front walkway? Deck? Solar panels?
  18. You'll find advice both ways, but the key is your interest rate. If you can earn more return by investing than the interest rate on your debt, you should invest.
  19. No hazard pay for the sweaty kids in June either.
  20. Phone lines went down and that's usually how we get ASOS obs out. 50+ knots for 30 minutes and counting.
  21. I believe AWG was 126 mph in the June 1998 derecho.
  22. They are one of the best counties at reporting storm damage too.
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