OceanStWx

He might be in bed, but the poor guy crapped on the HRRR when it was showing this area as most likely to see renewed convection.

Honestly don't hate the 18z 3 km NAM wind gust forecast. Right look to the wind field, if not within a few knots of what I expect the gusts to be like. Also chucks a few updraft helicity tracks for Ryan Tuesday evening.

That's pretty good video for these parts. No real evidence of debris, but the TDS didn't show up until it was farther east.

Damage photos from Falls Village area look tornado-like.

Definitely looks like there was a tornado south of Canaan. TDS visible for a couple scans just after 6 PM.

The environment is actually pretty primed just behind this lifting area of showers and storms. Like if that stuff near POU can get going, that could be something to watch.

Yeah 7/1/17. Ekster handing out TORs like Oprah.

For an East Coast recurve, you want a good upstream jet streak, mid level ridging north of the cyclone, and a good low level theta-e ridge drawn north extending well NE of the center. Model forecasts are pretty close to this conceptual model.

I'm on Long Pond most of the summer. Great area, I don't hate it.

Tornado alley of ME.

It's a pretty solid pattern for a PRE based on the conceptual models.

Because we only do records since 1941 for PWM (due to siting) 78 will be the all time record warm low*.

In fairness, we don't know we had a tornado for GYX/CAR yet.

Tossed.

Gotta head to MIA for a warmer temp right now.

We had inquired with the techs about high temperatures last year and were told things were fine. But the overnight lows have definitely stood out the last couple of weeks. Unless they hit it between obs, PWM has been 80+ all night. That's not normal.

We're a top 5 warm July right now, I would definitely like to know things aren't just out of calibration. Kind of like when CON seemed to be running hot a couple years ago.

Was looking into PWM because overnight lows have seemed to be running high. And while that has definitely been the case in the last few weeks, what the hell happened in September 2019 with daytime temps?

I always seem to struggle at that course. I used always park my first tee shot into the backyards right, but now my hook really gets me into trouble all over the place. I think last time I played there I couldn't hold the greens. If you hit the middle it would roll off every time.

I was afraid someone would say that.

@tamarack any tips for trying to transplant it somewhere it'll do better? I feel like trying to save it is better than just ripping it out of the dripline of the house.

Found this growing behind some old pallets on the side of my house. Looks like white ash to me. Hard to figure out how it got there unless the other trees on the property are also white ash.

That's the key, you have to be in the fairway otherwise you are giving up too much distance to be consistently worth it to lay up. It also helps to know your course. If I'm unfamiliar I'm way more likely to grab a hybrid off the tee if it's tight or short. When I read the book by the inventor of strokes gained my eyes were really opened about the game in general and how to improve your score. More or less amateurs aren't consistent enough reap the benefits of laying up, so you are almost always better off being closer to the hole in the rough than farther and in the fairway. Honestly freed me up a bit.

Was taking a walk today with my son and confirmed that the next street over definitely has white ash planted as a street tree, but definitely a more dry environment there than what's in my backyard. I did plant a couple rhododendron viscosum (lemon drop) along the edge though to try and beautify things for next spring.