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OceanStWx

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Everything posted by OceanStWx

  1. OceanStWx
    Someone tried to pass that off on BOX when they just hired someone who worked that tornado in Virginia. Oops.
  2. OceanStWx
    If I'm going to have to go with a full tropical forecast up here it damn well better strengthen to a hurricane.
  3. OceanStWx
    I think that's actually a warm wake off the top of the convection, the center should be tucked just south of that pink tower. But convection is wrapping around the center which is good.
  4. OceanStWx
    He might be in bed, but the poor guy crapped on the HRRR when it was showing this area as most likely to see renewed convection.
  5. OceanStWx
  6. OceanStWx
    Honestly don't hate the 18z 3 km NAM wind gust forecast. Right look to the wind field, if not within a few knots of what I expect the gusts to be like. Also chucks a few updraft helicity tracks for Ryan Tuesday evening.
  7. OceanStWx
    That's pretty good video for these parts. No real evidence of debris, but the TDS didn't show up until it was farther east.
  8. OceanStWx
    Damage photos from Falls Village area look tornado-like.
  9. OceanStWx
    Definitely looks like there was a tornado south of Canaan. TDS visible for a couple scans just after 6 PM.
  10. OceanStWx
    The environment is actually pretty primed just behind this lifting area of showers and storms. Like if that stuff near POU can get going, that could be something to watch.
  11. OceanStWx
    Yeah 7/1/17. Ekster handing out TORs like Oprah.
  12. OceanStWx
    For an East Coast recurve, you want a good upstream jet streak, mid level ridging north of the cyclone, and a good low level theta-e ridge drawn north extending well NE of the center. Model forecasts are pretty close to this conceptual model.
  13. OceanStWx
    I'm on Long Pond most of the summer. Great area, I don't hate it.
  14. OceanStWx
    Tornado alley of ME.
  15. OceanStWx
    It's a pretty solid pattern for a PRE based on the conceptual models.
  16. OceanStWx
    Because we only do records since 1941 for PWM (due to siting) 78 will be the all time record warm low*.
  17. OceanStWx
    In fairness, we don't know we had a tornado for GYX/CAR yet.
  18. OceanStWx
    Tossed.
  19. OceanStWx
    Gotta head to MIA for a warmer temp right now.
  20. OceanStWx
    We had inquired with the techs about high temperatures last year and were told things were fine. But the overnight lows have definitely stood out the last couple of weeks. Unless they hit it between obs, PWM has been 80+ all night. That's not normal.
  21. OceanStWx
    We're a top 5 warm July right now, I would definitely like to know things aren't just out of calibration. Kind of like when CON seemed to be running hot a couple years ago.
  22. OceanStWx
    Was looking into PWM because overnight lows have seemed to be running high. And while that has definitely been the case in the last few weeks, what the hell happened in September 2019 with daytime temps?
  23. OceanStWx
    I always seem to struggle at that course. I used always park my first tee shot into the backyards right, but now my hook really gets me into trouble all over the place. I think last time I played there I couldn't hold the greens. If you hit the middle it would roll off every time.
  24. OceanStWx
    I was afraid someone would say that.
  25. OceanStWx
    @tamarack any tips for trying to transplant it somewhere it'll do better? I feel like trying to save it is better than just ripping it out of the dripline of the house.
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