OceanStWx

Totally. Our office usually has someone go down every month for a few days with something like that. But since COVID every office has a supply of wipes and hand sanitizer, and station wipedowns are standard practice now. We've only had people call in sick for their kids in the last 6 months (maybe because everyone is afraid to fake a cold now? ). Makes me wonder why didn't always have a supply of wipes.

After working as long as I have in weather you notice that the US is just not great at preparedness and prevention. We're generally great with recovery. I hope some of these health practices carry over in the future, like the hand sanitizer that you mention. How much money could we save as a country from run of mill colds and seasonal flus that people don't catch because of that? And it's a relatively simple thing to do.

Yeah, I'm firmly in the camp of I just don't want to get it. So I wear a mask and we haven't been hanging out with anyone except for our parents. My job is already taking a toll on my long term health, so I would rather not mess with additional long term impacts. Most of what I've seen on these numbers is smaller populations, like the Penn State student-athlete testing showing roughly a third of the COVID cases still had heart inflammation months later. Well if we do some back of the envelope math on this for just 70+: that's roughly 28 million people in the US, at 5% mortality and 60% infection rate for herd immunity/just opening back up that's nearly 1 million people dead. Again, I'd rather not. Show me a plan beyond "we're over it" (i.e. mask mandate and rapid test everyone).

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I thought they got rid of those kinds of theaters...

62 knots EWR. This event still cranking along.

I think you can with their highest level subscription.

Storm mergers can be amazing things. Looks like an initial supercell merged with another cell father west and that kicked off new meso development and essentially a HP wind bag. That RFD meant business.

You can even see it really surge out now that it hit the lower friction Sound.

There is definitely a bias towards the CAPE side since that's the easy one to get over the threshold, but overall it does a fair job for areal coverage.

You would need an area of 45% hatched winds, which is probably a little too much to ask out of this event. I could see 45% wind, but hatched may be a stretch.

I'm not entirely surprised to see that composite go high. All guidance agrees on one thing: where the warm front settles will be a focus for severe weather. They differ a little on placement, but the evolution is quite consistent.

Even that inverted BDL sounding still has 1100 J/kg MUCAPE available.

It's a tough set up, not really a broad threat area but concentrated near the warm front wherever it ends up. Check out the differences between BDL and JFK. Neither of those is going to pop storms.

Awkward to handle for sure.

Phone lines went down and that's usually how we get ASOS obs out. 50+ knots for 30 minutes and counting.

I believe AWG was 126 mph in the June 1998 derecho.

They are one of the best counties at reporting storm damage too.

Unless policy has changed the QCA has siren activation at 70+ and many surrounding towns had begun to adopt it.

It looks like that gust was part of a mesovortex that formed a little north of town. Probably locally enhanced the wind, but looks like it has also set off a new descending RIJ that is now bowing the line out in the area between I-80 and Highway 30.

Some sort of moisture boundary sitting there through DVN's CWA (upper 70s south, low to mid 70s north) and heating both sides of it. Some serious potential here.

I always seem to struggle at that course. I used always park my first tee shot into the backyards right, but now my hook really gets me into trouble all over the place. I think last time I played there I couldn't hold the greens. If you hit the middle it would roll off every time.

That's the key, you have to be in the fairway otherwise you are giving up too much distance to be consistently worth it to lay up. It also helps to know your course. If I'm unfamiliar I'm way more likely to grab a hybrid off the tee if it's tight or short. When I read the book by the inventor of strokes gained my eyes were really opened about the game in general and how to improve your score. More or less amateurs aren't consistent enough reap the benefits of laying up, so you are almost always better off being closer to the hole in the rough than farther and in the fairway. Honestly freed me up a bit.

Time to go back and recalculate what I could've been. Edit: Looks like I was TOO consistent. New method only drops my best run to 9.5.

I've taken to lining those up like a putt with my PW/52 (if it's a real tight pin maybe the 56 or 60) and getting the heel off the ground. So I just stroke it like I would a putt for distance and it pops out really consistent. I change the club based on the distance to the pin.