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weathertree4u

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Everything posted by weathertree4u

  1. weathertree4u
    18" snow in south Louisiana is odd?
  2. weathertree4u
    I apologize - upon further review - I see how my post was not contributing to the overall knowledge base of the discussion so I removed them - though, seriously, fruit is going to start developing if we do not get some cold!
  3. weathertree4u
    One thing I can say for sure is that this Winter has had lots to track, not necessarily with storms but with overall model changes.
  4. weathertree4u
    Could that translate to cold here?
  5. weathertree4u
    That is a good way of expressing the difference between the GFS and the EURO!
  6. weathertree4u
    So that is good right?
  7. weathertree4u
    I know it is a little drier here north of Nashville but yea, we could use several weeks without any precip - chances are if it doesnt get it done the next few weeks - as far as snow is concerned - just gets very hard with increasing sun angle as we move into March to get it done; the system depicted on the morning run of the GFS this morning, if just a few hundred miles northwest, we give us all a pretty good snow, it is those chances, those tracking opportunities over the next couple weeks, that will make this interesting in my opinion.
  8. weathertree4u
    Guess analysis depends on ones outlook on things. I choose to be more optimistic about our chances going into the next couple of weeks.
  9. weathertree4u
    My apologies, I referenced the every model run because that was what was posted, the current post that I am replying too is referencing trends.
  10. weathertree4u
    I would go crazier than I already am if I lived and died by every model run, again trends; personally, I have no expectation that we score 6 weeks of cold and snow - we live in the South after all - however, I am more hopeful than most years that we can score a storm or two in the next two weeks and change.
  11. weathertree4u
    I think we should be looking, not to say that you are not, at the trends that are being portrayed with modeling, for example, what we know seemingly for sure is that it will get colder around the 5th; the pattern is just simply too complex I think at this time to expect modeling to all be on the same page, just my opinion.
  12. weathertree4u
    Is that -45 just above the Great Lakes?
  13. weathertree4u
    Same occurring in the TN Valley area - north of Nashville here - looks like the same pattern to continue - got to break this pattern of poor winters - this is like the third one in a row where winter is MIA
  14. weathertree4u
    My question is - why does the GFS show something almost night and day different?
  15. weathertree4u
    Seen this movie before - major changes telegraphed in the LR - then when it gets to the timeframe modeled - the pattern of persistence is the one that wins out - hope I am wrong but just seen this too many times before.
  16. weathertree4u
    If I were the NWS I would be getting nervous right about now about that slug of yellow and orange moving in from the southwest, all of that will run off rapidly.
  17. weathertree4u
    I work off Harding but live in Cottontown; Mill Creek takes most all of the run off from everything down there, not too surprising to her that it is in flood
  18. weathertree4u
    It is like they have a certain number of warnings that can be issued they are afraid to use them. I know here, even though we went several days since the last rain, everything was running off this morning. We need a serious pattern change!!!
  19. weathertree4u
    Yea, I am not sure what is going on with them today but we are honestly floating away here in Sumner county, not sure why it takes them so long to react to current weather conditions.
  20. weathertree4u
    I will take it - I think at least part of the fun I have tracking this time of year is to see the local NWS consistently get it incorrect lol - perhaps Yoda can assist!
  21. weathertree4u
    Not liking, not that any of us would, the wet pattern that seems to be being telegraphed by long range modeling, not to mention the severe threats!
  22. weathertree4u
    Can tell a difference in the air mass this morning versus yesterday morning, most certainly feels like a late Spring morning, hope we can get a pass on this one too!
  23. weathertree4u
    Yea it is not a good look on the models that is for sure. Do not know where we are going to put the couple inches we should get this weekend. No telling what would happen if we got that as modeled
  24. weathertree4u
    Yea was over middle tn yesterday runs imagine will move around until get closer
  25. weathertree4u
    Not good, not good at all
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