-
Posts
974 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by weathertree4u
-
December 2020 Medium/Long Term Pattern Discussion.
weathertree4u replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Not sure how reliable the CFS model is but it builds a glacier in the lower 48 for the first two weeks of January. -
December 2020 Medium/Long Term Pattern Discussion.
weathertree4u replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
I am just happy to not see such warm temps this December; hopefully we can at least have a normal Winter season this year, a couple of snows would be a bonus, just cannot stand another year of mid 60's in January~ -
December 2020 Medium/Long Term Pattern Discussion.
weathertree4u replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Lock it in! -
December 2020 Medium/Long Term Pattern Discussion.
weathertree4u replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Is this another Winter season where the cold and snow chances are always in the long range? Not really seeing it. Likely, hopefully, just because not aware of what or where to look. -
December 2020 Medium/Long Term Pattern Discussion.
weathertree4u replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
We are overdue for a true arctic outbreak imo and it would fit well with some of the analog years I have seen like 1989 -
Oak Moon Upslope/ Upper Low Storm Obs
weathertree4u replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yea, got about the same here in Cottontown, probably a little less, White House benefits from these marginal events because of the Highland Rim; just a little elevation goes a long way.- 300 replies
-
- 1
-
-
- upslope snow
- upper level disturbance
- (and 3 more)
-
December 2020 Medium/Long Term Pattern Discussion.
weathertree4u replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Would not take much to beat last year; heck, at this point, I would like one hard freeze so I could stop mowing grass. -
Wild Speculation for Winter 20 -21
weathertree4u replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
One thing is for sure, we are getting pretty dry here in the Middle TN area. Need a good soaking rain. -
I am sure that this year tropically will be studied and restudied by meteorology students but it is amazing to me how when conditions are "tweaked" by just a little bit, like this year, so many of the thunderstorm complexes develop into something that has to be watched.
-
Well, it doesnt take much to be a better season that the last several lol
- 168 replies
-
- 1
-
-
- leaves changing
- temperatures
-
(and 2 more)
Tagged with:
-
The 1960's were great winters in the Mid-South; Nashville area got some great snows December that year as well. The big boy was on New Years that year that went just to the south of Nashville, we got snow but Huntsville and southern TN got hammered.
- 168 replies
-
- 4
-
-
- leaves changing
- temperatures
-
(and 2 more)
Tagged with:
-
Wild Speculation for Winter 20 -21
weathertree4u replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Would not take much to make it a better winter imo -
Yea, that map is pretty accurate. North of town, we are starting to dry out as well, need a good rain. This Spring has been unique, usually we have a couple of "gully washers" before we move into the dryness of Summer, not so this year!
-
Was fairly localized in the Middle TN area; I am in Sumner county, northeast of Nashville near White House and while it did storm, we got lots of rain and wind maybe 30 mph
-
We were seemingly able to dodge most of the fowl weather here in Middle TN over night, thankful about that! Hope that holds for the future as well!
-
Spring-Summer banter 2020
weathertree4u replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yea, was really hopeful based upon what was reading November onward that the Winter would turn around but we put another consecutive awful winter in the books in Middle TN; the real problem is that when the pattern eventually breaks and it will, that even the smallest Winter event will seem so out of the ordinary. Needless to say, if we ever have another winter like I had growing up in the 1970's, Nashville would think that the world was coming to an end! -
TN valley heavy rain/flooding week of whenever
weathertree4u replied to janetjanet998's topic in Tennessee Valley
One thing is for sure though, I bet that TVA/Corps of Engineers is stepping up the flows from the area holding facilities in advance of this system next week. -
TN valley heavy rain/flooding week of whenever
weathertree4u replied to janetjanet998's topic in Tennessee Valley
Looks like wet pattern is set to return with a vengeance -
Wild Speculation for Winter 20 -21
weathertree4u replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
He is implying that we are headed into a cooler climate based on previous solar mins and the previous tilts of the Earth; could very well be but there are multiple drivers of climate and the weather in general, not just as in this case, solar mins and tilt of the Earth. -
TN valley heavy rain/flooding week of whenever
weathertree4u replied to janetjanet998's topic in Tennessee Valley
@jaxjagmanat least next winter may be different -
TN valley heavy rain/flooding week of whenever
weathertree4u replied to janetjanet998's topic in Tennessee Valley
Just amazing. I think you @jaxjagmanhad posted last week sometime about the extremes in the weather and to think that possibly at some point in the Summer this tap will shut off in a big way and we could go from extremely wet to extremely dry, which, could bode badly for the fire season fall 2020 -
Mid 60's for an extended period of time in mid February - just so amazing - residents of the TN Valley will be sorely surprised when the larger scale pattern eventually flips; if we were to have a winter season like we had in my child hood -1970's-1980's - people would not know what to do not to mention if we had one similar to the 1960's where almost every season in that decade had at least one big storm and several seasons had seasonal totals well over 12" - just amazing! Anyone have any idea when we break from this multi-year crap pattern?
-
Same occurring in the TN Valley area - north of Nashville here - looks like the same pattern to continue - got to break this pattern of poor winters - this is like the third one in a row where winter is MIA
-
My question is - why does the GFS show something almost night and day different?
-
Seen this movie before - major changes telegraphed in the LR - then when it gets to the timeframe modeled - the pattern of persistence is the one that wins out - hope I am wrong but just seen this too many times before.
