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Sn0waddict

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Everything posted by Sn0waddict

  1. Sn0waddict
    Everyone with a brain knew the 18z 15 inch blob over NYC wasn’t gonna stay. It was a random band that even the HRRR couldn’t pinpoint in real time. But no reason to give up either. As I said above models are going to have a rough time pinpointing where this is going to stall and occlude.
  2. Sn0waddict
    The models have no idea where to stall and occlude this storm. They won’t for some time. The only thing that you should be looking at right now is the strength of the high and the initial front end thump. Everything besides that is no where near locked. Anything is still on the table really.q
  3. Sn0waddict
    Think that might not even be sorted out entirely until the initial thump is already on our doorstep.
  4. Sn0waddict
    I have noticed that the RGEM AND HDRPS are way colder at the surface for the onset of the storm. Like 5+ degrees. Maybe they are on to something, though probably not. Wish the HDRP went out farther hour 48 looks sweet lol
  5. Sn0waddict
    It was just a random band that no model can pinpoint until we are in the HRRR range. Wouldn’t say it caved to anything.
  6. Sn0waddict
    Try living south of the Merritt , that 3’ of sleet ends up being 34f and rain lol.
  7. Sn0waddict
    Welcome to the coast (well for this storm at least)It’s always fun to laugh at the inland folks who freak out over the possibility of getting one hour of sleet in between their foot plus of snow.
  8. Sn0waddict
    Much more precip vs 12z too.
  9. Sn0waddict
    Lol at the random heavy snow band over nyc at hr 72, that would be entertaining if it came to fruition.
  10. Sn0waddict
    18z RGEM looks nice. Good front end thump. Keep lower level cold locked in for longer too.
  11. Sn0waddict
    That’s a really nice look at the end of the run. A stationary strengthening low sitting SE of LI with an expanding precipitation shield. Looks moderate to heavy to me too. Not sure how anyone could have an issue with that.
  12. Sn0waddict
    What about 900-925? I believe that is where we will have the most issues.
  13. Sn0waddict
    Tough time believing those maps given the track. But Euro has sort of been all over the place with this too, so I wouldn’t fret too much. Where the low retrogrades is a huge question mark still.
  14. Sn0waddict
    More like it gets kicked off of a cliff.
  15. Sn0waddict
    Woah euro is way better
  16. Sn0waddict
    I’ll take gfs at hr 162 please.
  17. Sn0waddict
    Where in northeastern PA? My fiancée had family up there, just a bunch of farmland. Good place for snow though lol
  18. Sn0waddict
    Wouldn’t really say HRRR fail, it pointed out that the precip would backfill in the first place, most other models had no snow.
  19. Sn0waddict
    As others have been reporting, first snowflakes of the season here.
  20. Sn0waddict
    Hrrr seems to want to almost backfill a bit and give us all some light snow. radar seems to be reflecting that as well.
  21. Sn0waddict
    More so people don’t care when models correct north or south with a rainstorm during the spring/summer. But in the winter a storm trend of 25 miles north can make all the difference.
  22. Sn0waddict
    Here comes the wind, just increased a lot the past 10 mins or so.
  23. Sn0waddict
    72/67 here. Feels like a mid August night. House temp into the 70s.
  24. Sn0waddict
    67/46 and sunny here. What a day.
  25. Sn0waddict
    Looks like the back side is coming through Greenwich/Stamford. Wind is really picking up there again.
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