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Everything posted by Sn0waddict
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December 16-17, 2020 Storm Observations and Nowcast
Sn0waddict replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Ya I mentioned that earlier. 27/3 here. Ground level temps should stay below freezing IMO.- 1,011 replies
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December 16-17, 2020 Storm Observations and Nowcast
Sn0waddict replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Man it’s got that snow feel out there. 26F with a dew point of 3.- 1,011 replies
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When I hear of a sleet storm that’s the first thing I think of.
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Active mid December with multiple event potential
Sn0waddict replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Hot daymn cmon IBM let this be your shining moment. -
Likewise, the plumes are always just fun to look at though . For example the mean in Scranton is 22 inches including one model that gives them 15 inches in three hours! Best here is 8 inches in 3 hours, which would still be incredible lol
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For what it’s worth the HRRR seems pretty cold, holding off most of the sleet for NYC until 07z
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Nam looks noticeably warmer with 850s at the onset of the storm. Hopefully just a fluke.
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That track looks good to me. Similar to the NAM.
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It practically touches Long Beach island as well. Most NW model I have seen. Also has a wild coastal front.
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CMC not surprisingly looks similar to the RGEM, they are the most NW of any the models at the moment.
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Active mid December with multiple event potential
Sn0waddict replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Not Mt Tolland approved. -
Active mid December with multiple event potential
Sn0waddict replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
It’s in the same spot, and same strength really. It’s drops over a foot in western ct. Cant say I see any issues. -
I’m sure it’s a terrible model but the 0z WRF-NMM is what this board should be rooting for.
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3k is better too, which has been the warmest model to date. A few hours of sleet but it then crashes at hr 33
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Wow much better for coastal ct and Hudson valley. Maybe an hour of sleet at the most and no dry slot.
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Active mid December with multiple event potential
Sn0waddict replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
A bad weather model. -
Quite the dry slot on the HERPES. Sheesh
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1 mb stronger and a hair East. Looks pretty identical to 12z.
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Practically identical at the surface at Hr 36 to 12z. Next panel is the most important one though.
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Cave to what? There still doesn’t seem to be uniform agreement across the board.
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NAM looks a little less amped up to me.. will see how it translates but it would be great if it moved more towards euro type solution.
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