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Sn0waddict

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Everything posted by Sn0waddict

  1. Sn0waddict
    Difference appears to be a warm tongue at 700mb on the 3k vs the GFS. We don’t even sniff sleet here on the GFS despite it having a similar low position as the NAM. My guess is unfortunately that the 3k would be better at picking up stuff like this, but perhaps it is overaggressive with it..
  2. Sn0waddict
    3k is a few hours of snow and then sleet then a dry spot despite having a further south surface track than 6z. This hobby sucks.
  3. Sn0waddict
    Pretty much every model now has a dry slot in CT after a initial thump. Makes sense honestly, just hope to keep the sleet down into LI. Edit: though based on the map above who cares if we dry slot that initial thump would be awesome.
  4. Sn0waddict
    Seems like things are just becoming more unclear now not less. Dryslots, suppression, mixing all a possibility still. No bueno.
  5. Sn0waddict
    Icon and RGEM seemed to go north a bit. Would rather not have that happen. Will see if it’s a trend or a fluke.
  6. Sn0waddict
    I wonder what Ryan is thinking.
  7. Sn0waddict
    CMC looks pretty much the same as 0z, maybe tucked just a slight bit more but same trajectory besides that.
  8. Sn0waddict
    RGEM goes out to 84 hr now on TT
  9. Sn0waddict
    Was about to go to bed feeeling good and then you had to do this.. . Actually it’s good to be made aware of stuff like this, but a positive GFS trend would really help me feel better about this whole thing.
  10. Sn0waddict
    Slower too no? Still right off AC at 9z. I think NAM/CMC had it gone by 12z
  11. Sn0waddict
    How far north does it go until it pulls east?
  12. Sn0waddict
    That looks nothing like the GFS lol.
  13. Sn0waddict
    38 inches in 12 hours with gusts in the 40s. LOL call me skeptical of that, but it is nice to look at.
  14. Sn0waddict
    There are more tucked in members for sure, but the north progression still isn’t very good. Most get shunted east at/south of cape may.
  15. Sn0waddict
    Ya i feel that way too, seemed early on like it was trending in the right direction but then it just fell apart.
  16. Sn0waddict
    They are definitely more tucked than 18z ensembles but the north progression is still not there before they get kicked east.
  17. Sn0waddict
    CMC is nothing like the GFS. Foot + for SNE.
  18. Sn0waddict
    That’s with snow still falling for most of the area correct?
  19. Sn0waddict
    Get the GFS on board and I might finally do the same. Almost there.
  20. Sn0waddict
    Only goes to 84 obviously, but it’s great for everyone south of the NH border. Death band extending from philly to providence.
  21. Sn0waddict
    The RGEM is an absolute crusher wowzers.
  22. Sn0waddict
    Crazy uncle out yet?
  23. Sn0waddict
    RGEM looks similar to the NAM.
  24. Sn0waddict
    Could see totals even higher than what’s showing up on the EURO weenie map if that happened. But many more solutions to go before we can lock this in.
  25. Sn0waddict
    Seems like prior runs were quick to shove it east though once it hit the block to the north. What’s stopping it from sprinting east on this run?
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