Ralph Wiggum

The main system is building up off the Baja at 186

HECS? Pattern has potential but not sure that level system is in the cards.

The Allen Iverson GFS is a warmish fropa for the 24th thing then has the 28th thing swinging down from the NS with a widespread minor/moderate event.

I cant be the only one that when I hear the term "AI" I immediately say "Allen Iverson" in my head

Usually it's Ji that points out the back end of a good pattern before the good pattern has even set in. I'm shocked.

Sipping on a bottle of 2022 cellar-aged Bell's Expedition Stout. Really aged nicely....mellow, balanced, smooth.

Cheers! Gulp gulp

Yepper. Our January thaw was nice while it lasted. I think we had 2 or 3 days AN lol.

Ain't me, im in the last seat gooning

This is what i envision wrt the bus and us all on board

@ravensrule

Yepper, this run is 'volatile as fuck' , as @CAPE would say. Only a subtle change here or there from the end of the rainbow jackpot or bottom of the cliff carnage.

Only if @Scraffisn't driving, after seeing his fridge....dear lord!

Buckle up ladies and gentlemen....its close to go time.

Suppression as stated prior biggest concern for this window. But that wiggle room will bode will for farther South zones at least as we get nearer.

Ooh, 258 the shortwave in the SW is ejecting with cold in place and NS action to boot. Cue the Jaws music. Why we gotta be so far out for the good stuff?

Speaking of brewing....what are we consuming for HH later today?

2" is smoked?

Thats what we need! A strong ridge in the NAO will suppress or swing it S and E. A relax in that feature will help us. Heather Archambault event?

Getting this in place is part 1. Hopefully we dont have to delay this feature easing to get a hit. But it will eventually happen. Get that cold dome established first, and it looks like we are doing just that.

Cocked and loaded and getting ready to eject.

Like I originally mentioned for the gooning window (27th-29th) a few days back, biggest concern for that time would be suppression or a swing and miss E. Why? 25th system drags in the Arctic air, EPO is on roids, PNA briefly spikes, and there is ridging up top on our side. Was always intrigued with the cold being established for this window and a wave undercutting our pna spike BUT the chance of a ruined snowgasm would be a squashed/suppressed system or swing and miss just too far East. Still feel we are entering quite a favorable pattern even if this particular window fails. Alot to transpire still before this and a chance or 2 the next 10 days. Eta: just saw the 6z GooFuS and is so close to a big hit but walks the line on a swing and miss (caveats: op run at range etc, but general window still reflected) Here are the gefs and eps for reference around this time:

Imho thats going to be more an Aleutian low signal than an Alaska proper vortex. That look presented actually gets us in +PNA territory and verbatim would move the PNA ridge axis near the benchmark (Idaho iirc). I would be ok with the epo easing a bit as this look takes shape going into the waning days of Jan/early Feb. One thing seems certain at least, anyone that declared winter over is likely in for a rude awakening shortly.

Philly Eagles interviewing Todd Monken for possible OC job. You Ravens folks, what are your thoughts.on him when he was in Baltimore? Im not very familiar tbh