We had blocking a good chunk of the past 2 winters.
The nao is currently east-based. It isnt set to transition to a west based (more favorable) -nao until middle of next week....and even there is a little east of where we would like to see it.
You need more than blocking to get a good storm. That is only 1 aspect.
Eta: there is also quite a difference between a ridge in the nao and a true closed block.
NAM is colder and practically.all.snow eastern pa.
ETA: im not buying it btw just passing it along. This one still feels like a thump to mix/taint....for now
I agree with this. Definitely not a clean flush hit, at least not appearing that way right now.
Ironically, the gefs mean is colder and snowier with a mean snowfall totals of 5" here in central bucks.