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Ralph Wiggum

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Everything posted by Ralph Wiggum

  1. Ralph Wiggum
    Guidance overnight has ticked considerably lower with snowfall totals. Part of that is the quickness of the system. The other part is the banding looks extremely confined and less widespread now. In any event I still think a general 2-5" seems like a good range for this one with a couple isolated areas under the banding seeing 3-6/7". Expectation here in Warminster set at 2.1" Eta: keep in mind when these bands develop, areas adjacent will see subsidence and weaker radar returns
  2. Ralph Wiggum
  3. Ralph Wiggum
    That january 23rd system is looking like Jan 25, 2000. Sharp tilt and almost want to come North. Cmc is really close.
  4. Ralph Wiggum
    Is that the premium package? Or free?
  5. Ralph Wiggum
    It's nice when things fall in place at the 11th hour rather than completely fall apart.
  6. Ralph Wiggum
    Thank goodness! Here's the hrdps fwiw, just squint real hard you can get the gist
  7. Ralph Wiggum
    I dislike their Interface on mobile. Sorry man, personal preference.
  8. Ralph Wiggum
    HRDPS is another i95 crush job. But I wont post the shit maps
  9. Ralph Wiggum
    Because I refuse to pay when I can get the same data free. Thanks. What maps do you prefer?
  10. Ralph Wiggum
    ICON has flurries at kickoff tomorrow, rgem meanwhile has whiteout conditions.
  11. Ralph Wiggum
    Herperderper is running...this should be interesting with how it handles (or mishandles?) banding features.
  12. Ralph Wiggum
  13. Ralph Wiggum
    Wrf is an i95 crush job
  14. Ralph Wiggum
    Why would you want to face washington? They are more rounded than Detroit. They 'usually' have a better d.
  15. Ralph Wiggum
    This game is insane
  16. Ralph Wiggum
    Convective feedback. When all else fails, blame convective feedback.
  17. Ralph Wiggum
    HRDPS should be good.
  18. Ralph Wiggum
    Wth is the fv3 doing? Surprises coming with this system guaranteed.
  19. Ralph Wiggum
  20. Ralph Wiggum
    Not picking an argument, but Paul, why are you posting the Kuchera maps for this event? These are extremely misleading as ratios for much of the event will be 10:1-12:1 maybe slightly higher towards the back end as system pulls away and colder air works in. I would cut most of those map totals by 35-40% tbh. This system will be hauling ass to boot.
  21. Ralph Wiggum
    If we end up with an inch of slop and a Birds loss, I may just delete this bookmark.
  22. Ralph Wiggum
    Bar for Warminster set at 2.1"...don't like the bl warmth leading in nor the dry-slot look on some of the mesos for here. Just being realistic, not a downer. Would rather hedge low and maybe get a surprise. I will say, the mesos that handle banding well are going apeshit...so whoever ends up under one of those convective bands will see 2"/hr+ rates and even thunder as Steve D noted in his vlog. Good luck everyone and Go Eagles!!
  23. Ralph Wiggum
    Hrdps can it please get this one right? It does do well with banding.
  24. Ralph Wiggum
    18z herpderpy coming in hot and heavy.
  25. Ralph Wiggum
    I loathe this model at times, seriously
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