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Ralph Wiggum

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Everything posted by Ralph Wiggum

  1. Wow, went from 12"+ down to around 1" in 12 hours on wxsim.
  2. There is barely a storm but yea we cant ever get a good trend This is another swing and a miss storm. Even moving away quickly from a high elevation event and morphing into a fropa. Welcome back winter 2018-19.
  3. At least we shouldn't enter spring in a drought so there's that.
  4. There arent really crazy swings at the surface tho. Haven't seen one hit for I95 cities yet. This has been and still is a far inland and elevation event. Hope I bust wrong and we get plastered but not seeing it.
  5. I wonder if DT is at the rally in Richmond.
  6. I'm still trying to get an answer from @Albedoman going on 4 days now on where the foot of snow is falling for groundhogs day. Is this the storm? Is this part 2 of the MLK back to back events with glaciers and icebergs in the streets? Or is there another system we are overlooking?
  7. And right on cue next model up sh!t the bed. Cant make this stuff up lol.
  8. Please no....keep him away. I'm convinced he is our hex. Seriously joking but since he decided to take a hiatus things began looking up. Funny how that works.
  9. Driving from warminster to blue Bell at 6am was a disaster. Sheet of ice. Lots of vehicles spun out.
  10. GFS is wacky. Very unorthodox 850 temp progression. Not sure I recall seeing 850s cool like this with a ripping SE wind.
  11. 850s are AN as the system approaches across the board on guidance. Antecedent airmass is stale cold and flow is off the ocean from the ESE. I can see this possibly being something for higher elevations well inland but the I95 crew is going to miss out on this one. Maybe some wet flakes mixed in towards the end. Certainly time for changes but these situations where East of the fall line is hoping for cold air wrapping in faster or a system manufacturing it's own cold air seldom work out.
  12. What are the 850s during the critical panels rather than after the precip is out?
  13. My parents talk about Christmas 66 quite alot. My mom said 'Santa' forgot an important part of one of my older brother's gifts and she sent my dad out in the blizzard on Christmas Eve to get it at the store. He got stuck a block from the house, abandoned the car, walked to the store which wasnt exactly close, and walked all the way home in the storm. 'Santa' came thru! To this day my dad still laughs while busting her chops about sending him out in that wild weather.
  14. Guidance/ens members with near perfect track all have one thing in common....lack of cold air source. Everything is bottled in Canada. We dont do well holding out hope for storms to "manufacture their own cold air pool".
  15. Disagree....I bet the Euro jumps ship tonight. It's around that range now. And the fact there was zero support on the EPS is a no brainer where this is heading.
  16. How is a LP over Philly a 'coastal'? Not asking for any friends.
  17. CMC with a worse track ie an inside runner or right on the coast, yet is colder and snowier. OK I'm sure that'll work out.
  18. Actually a really good point. We've seen so many MR flips and trends so who knows. But why is it always when we need a flip to the good we rarely ever get it yet the other way around is almost a given....the old being in the bullseye 5+ days out thing.
  19. Have a feeling there was a typo. Probably was meant to read .1?
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