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Ralph Wiggum

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Everything posted by Ralph Wiggum

  1. Ralph Wiggum
    There's our window ... let's keep the look going.
  2. Ralph Wiggum
    Hopefully the ICON isnt sniffing a trend at the tail end of its run.
  3. Ralph Wiggum
    So what you're saying in a pc kind of way is it isnt very helpful.
  4. Ralph Wiggum
    Nao seems transient during this period which was a concern going in (that is IF we even progress to a -NAO which signs still point to yes for now). But as I've said a few times, this is one of the better potential windows we've seen this winter so get one or 2 chances over a 5-8 day stretch and I will roll the dice with that given the calendar date. We have done half decent with window opportunities this year, so let's give it another go.
  5. Ralph Wiggum
    So we sacrifice the SB weekend big storm for the follow up storm? Sounds about right.
  6. Ralph Wiggum
    For those not in know^^
  7. Ralph Wiggum
    Hard to Phantom
  8. Ralph Wiggum
    I like these names over member user names. I think Bob is the only member to ever have a storm verify that someone named. The other 999 that posters name for other posters end up in the sh!tter. Some sort of curse.
  9. Ralph Wiggum
    Little extreme and probably.wont verify as progged but there is a neg NAO across guidance now with growing support for that feature on the ens means. We can only hope these looks are even somewhat close because they would produce something for us.
  10. Ralph Wiggum
    I thought we had the Fathom of the Opera system no?
  11. Ralph Wiggum
    Getting the pieces in place for the follow up VD Storm grand pattern finale.
  12. Ralph Wiggum
    This period is gaining legs and actually moving closer in time and not stationary in la la land. If we can get 1 or 2 threats over 7 days with these looks, that is a win. If we can lock something in for longer, then @WxWatcher007 might be busy resurrecting the deceased.
  13. Ralph Wiggum
    Have been barking about the Feb 6-14 period for quite a while now as being the best pattern we will see so far this year. Key tellies are still there and moving closer and not staying put in la la land. Positive PNA, -EPO, -NAO, neutral to neg AO. Cant get specific about storms BUT the ops are beginning to bark at this period now in addition to the ens means. This period is gaining legs. I will take a 1 week window with 1 or 2 threats. If we can lock the pattern in for longer then that is a bonus.
  14. Ralph Wiggum
    That's the time frame. We may only get a shot or two over a week...10 days. That much is tbd. But this period has been looking good. Now we r starting to see some hints of actual storm activity. Too far out for specific threats but this is the pattern we have been waiting for. Not a KU look (yet) but overall nice pattern for snow.
  15. Ralph Wiggum
    So sad. Yet another horrible and shocking loss.
  16. Ralph Wiggum
    RIP Kobe. Philly's own and one of the GOAT. Unbelievable and so sad.
  17. Ralph Wiggum
    ICON has a sneaky little threat Thursday night into friday for some.
  18. Ralph Wiggum
    Models picking up on a sneaky little system Thursday into Friday. Potential for a few inches of snow for some. Something to watch.
  19. Ralph Wiggum
    Jma ride it
  20. Ralph Wiggum
    Oh Canada....
  21. Ralph Wiggum
    We dont do complicated well....let alone "very complicated".
  22. Ralph Wiggum
    I know it's not this sub but look up into PA....2m temps are 33-35. Is that the mythical "33 and rain" scenario?
  23. Ralph Wiggum
    What do the Euro and CMC do that there really isnt even a storm? I would look but cant atm. Ty.
  24. Ralph Wiggum
    So I guess I have more learning irt thermals and precip type. How is it that 850s are below freezing, 700s are very well below freezing as expected, surface temps mid 30s, 540 line is south and east, but raining in many areas? I thought especially during prime climo outside of surface temps those others indicators were a shoo-in for frozen? 2m temps arent exactly scorching until you get east of the fall line if you consider 40 a torch.
  25. Ralph Wiggum
    I like the 2 HP centers mixed in one near eastern NC and one off NE.
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