Ralph Wiggum

The map I posted is the fv3 now operational.

Late season surge.

We need to get our priorities in order here. So much focus on a piddly snow tv system this weekend which probably wont pan out and not enough focus on Day 10+ What could possibly go wrong?

Bring it! Might as well get it now...seasonal data is hinting drought upcoming.

Is that seasonal snow outlook for the next decade? Cause we both know we wont see this the remainder of the season.

February showers bring March flower and April snows.....or something like that.

Anyone else getting excited for baseball season? @ChescoPaWxman Pitchers and catchers next week. I only wish the Phillies signed another solid starter but we can hope Wheeler and Nola will perform and the Eflins of the world can help carry them. Wasnt impressed with the bullpen moves or lack of either. Offense and fielding looks good on paper but this team still desperately needs pitching the way I see it. 82-80 this year imo Thoughts?

Pitchers and catchers next week. Actually excited for bb to begin.

Many have moved past the next 2 weeks and are tracking PD. C'mon Randy, you know how we roll in here.

I thought we were looking ahead to the midweek system following this potential due to better hp placement? Either way, the window is almost upon us. Buckle up....we are either off to the races or on a destination for a trainwreck.

Well, the GEFS and GEPS increase moisture. We'll see if there is any cold to work with.

Next Sunday threat gaining legs on ens members. Also gaining BL temps along with that precip. Wash, rinse, repeat.

Gfs and icon went warmer so yeah NAM being nam at range likely.

That is a raging ++NAO. Wow.

More heat?

The window of chances that I alluded to is fast approaching (Feb 6-14). The window is open a crack and not as wide open as once depicted. However, plenty of waves rolling thru and cold air nearby to the N and W. If the boundary can drag south behind one of these waves and another call roll thru without amplifying we could see some chances for frozen. Ops and a few ens are hinting at several different possibilities. So I dont believe we are completely in a lights out shutout pattern. Tho admittedly chances are higher that we fail than score a big event. But we'll see.

This models showed a blizzard for the same areas for today a week ago. Guessing we trend the same way.

The window feb 6-14 has been highlighted for over 2 weeks now. It is still a period worth watching but the window isnt as wide open as it once was.

That should set up some pretty epic severe in the NE and MA.

Ahhh the Great Valentine's Day Storm of 2020....just a day early. Maybe it can wait for the ULL and extend one more day.

I lived in Delco which is the county left of PHL and we got crushed. Tiniest micro deathband ever. I think iirc we picked up 11" areas 15 miles away 0. What a fluke event that was.

20 years ago we could barely tease a 6-10 day outlook. Maybe we haven't nailed down 15 days or weeklies but we have come a heck of a long way without doubt.

Do you have the 3" percentage map for comparison?

Dont say I didnt warn you. Dont do it dont let it draw you in. Turn away from the light!

Your superman gloves are a nice touch.