Ralph Wiggum

Canadian has led the pack plunging the PV into the States this season while the Euro would be reverse and pump heights. I know the atmosphere doesnt have a memory and all that stuff, but I will place my $$ on the Euro (the favorite) and take the easy money. I'm sure as a gambler tho, you would take the odds on the underdog correct?

Also, have we seen the PV drop even once this winter when forecast? Asking for a friend.

See my 'eta' on the above post

Even the NAVGEM has the bowling ball and appears threatening. GFS is out to lunch imo. Bigger fail chance is going to be a phase too soon/amped solution and not flat squashed.

Isnt the ukie at H5 phasing too far West tho and also pumping heights out ahead in the east?

Juicy ... looks like the GOM will be open for business.

This had best not turn into "but the Friday system is setting up the follow up storm" where both systems take a dump and the entire period fails. But that would never happen, so yeah.

Cmc has way better cad though Yep just added.that above you ninja'd me

GFS and CMC say no VD storm and have the same system with a stale airmass 2 days later. Eta: CMC a little slower departing the hp. In any event something wants to pop between Fri and Sun it appears

The window I have been keying on is upon us (Feb 6-14) and could very well be our last chance before the SE Ridge tries to go full latitude and lock in the 2nd half of Feb. Best shot at something appears to be developing closer to the middle/end of this period and the Great Valentine's Day Storm of 2020 may also in fact be a legit entity if you believe several pieces of guidance. Alot of well-timed players would need to interact but they are at least all showing up on the field. Bowling ball Southern low, PV wobbling thru the 50/50 region, strong arctic hp, northern energy attempting to merge with the big ull.

The Great VD Storm of 2020 has legs and shouldn't be referred to as sneaky imo. The planetary alignment, SPV pummelling, and other LR ens data including weekly charts have all been signaling a large longwave event in the East during this time frame. Hopefully it comes together!

That's an ICONic look!

Weeklies are ok, if you like a -NAO in March.

0z has it at 957mb. I have a feeling the NAM is suffering from convective feed back issues. Just a guess.

It's not over yet. If you can get like 3 weeks of persistent -10SD nao you might at least break at neutral. I'm gonna say that probably isnt going to happen tho.

We all need the Great Valentine's Day Storm so we can celebrate our love of the winter and of one another. Maybe....

We may salvage winter after all!

The mean is still very positive. @C.A.P.E.

Meh, just your ordinary everyday 962mb low pressure off of AC

NAMs are very close are getting some deformation band snows in the NW burbs tomorrow in response to a 974mb low. Very dynamic setup.

Verbatim that is showing waa snows north. Then based on 850s next 24 hours mostly non frozen i95. I know I know....you were showing the trend and yes based on last runs a better overall look. Congrats new england

Euro is going to do Lucy again only to play the role of Dr No in a few days. Dont do it....dont head towards the light. Eta: this would be the 6th or 7th time this season the LR euro and EPS jumps on board a decent look then sh!ts the bed in a few days. Maybe wont this time but my money is on another tease.

Fyp

When is the neg NAO coming?

Sorry to hear this @mappy positive thoughts and vibes coming you and your sister's way. I hope she recovers quickly