I'm going all-in balls deep on this threat. This will be the one that fools people into thinking it cant snow last week of Feb and cant snow with a +NAO and is going to shock the system of many. Be ready.
I'm all in on this one. May very well be the last legit trackable event of the season. GFS says bring on spring. It's all we have....we r running on fumes....let's finish met winter on a solid note.
Is this the storm isotherm called for last few days Feb or first couple days of March? This is the one he was talking about since early January. He has been good with this season's forecast, so maybe this thread is actually legit. The Insane Isotherm Bomb of Feb 2020. Let's do this!!
The pattern evolution is much more supportive of NC and VA seeing a couple events. That is actually much more fitting tbh. We missed N, E, and W so far so now let's establish a window where S gets in on the action right?
We wont. Not seeing any hints or signals this March like we did the past several. Hopefully we will have severe. Not sure if the past few decent spring severe were due to the late winter events. If so maybe not a good omen.
There was research done not directly related to the PV that seasons with well BN snowfall and AN temps yield a hotter summer. It is posted by Don in the Philly sub.
It will wait for the cold airmass to recede in the East then head east imo. I realize some are saying "but this is different". Doesnt seem drastically different to my eye aside from the look of a late season start of a transition to an early spring pattern.
Eta: damn you @C.A.P.E.
Gonna go out on a limb here and say that look will begin to dampen out and blocking wont be as strong hence energy probably heads right over us as opposed to our South....congrats upstate PA into New England....again.
We haven't seen that happen at all this winter when the LR showed workable looks have we?
Your one word of caution in all of your posts have been the final word most of the time. Nailed it.