Ralph Wiggum

Dont forget after those fails I chime in and state how much I loathe this hobby. Ji then cancels winter for the 22nd time, Weather53 says see I told you we are kicking the can again, mitch tells us he had a hunch January was toast, Terpeast says he has concerns for Feb being we are in a Nina but there is hope, Randy calls us nuts and tells Chuck to sybau, aldi22 says we are dumb, Maestrobjwa tells us hes learning new stuff every day, winter warlock replies to each post with 'lol' or 'lmao', then PSU posts a 3 page diatribe on how he hopes this isnt the new norm. Yeah, I think thats the usual pattern iirc.

Main takeaway, winter tracking is resuming. Plenty of chances coming. Enjoy the mild weather next day and a half or so.

Its actually a simple way to score. No complicated phasing bs or ridge axis perfection etc. Wave riding along a boundary with overunning.

I dont think the system is done yet.

My bad.

Well, this is the storm you named, so let's ride. If storm A fails, I'll ride the Ji bus.

Massive arctic hp

Why is everything 8-10 fucking days out? Always.

Um fellas....

GFS trying to do something at 210...hold on

Frustrating to go from a ticking time bomb at 12z across a few deterministic models to a fropa at 0z. Is what it is.

I live right around the corner. I can confirm this is a thing.

Can't help but recall this shtick

Geese were flying due East today....lots of them. What's that all about?

Same.with ggem

GFS was actually a weenie run. Snow on snow on snow after the 14th.

As an executive chef, I support this post.

Usually works for respective reporting stations in SE PA. Worked in my studies for kdyl and kphl, cannot confirm other reporting stations.

GEFS unconvincingly has a dartboard cluster of lows across the SE wrt the Jan 15 thing, fwiw. I suppose it's 'something'.

Nah, the sane ones heeded the advice to take a week off during the thaw. The other 33 of us just enjoy self-inflicted torture.

@ravensrule are you seeing the same?

If we can touch 60F, we ride.

You cancelled winter. You dont get a storm.

CPF...but too much -EPO. Always something.

Its always something, thats how we roll. If it ain't a sloppy phase then its a GL lp, or a kicker, or some rogue shortwave diving out of Nunavut that mucks things up. But seriously, one of these will eventually work out. Expect the worst, hope for the best. Expectations in check, patience, and all those other caveats apply.