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Ralph Wiggum

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Everything posted by Ralph Wiggum

  1. Ralph Wiggum
    Feel it is wise to focus on short and medium range and not too much on"looks rainy for 3 weeks" type guessing. Models are really jumpy right now next 7 days but the gfs op continues to be rock solid with a mixed thump next Wednesday going to rain Thursday (maybe) before slotting. Then looks very active after.
  2. Ralph Wiggum
    GFS is hellbent on a wintry mix here next Wednesday into Thursday
  3. Ralph Wiggum
    Totally agree. We would need a series of events to collapse for that scenario to actually happen. The pac jet retraction, the scandi ridging, the mjo progression...even the swe all are in favor of a return to some form of 'deep winter' as we advance thru Feb.
  4. Ralph Wiggum
    Just want to note, the SER has been kicked down time and time again this season, so we do have that going for us. With all the other tellies signaling a decent -ao/-nao mid Feb forward, I think the scenario I mentioned is slim. Just presenting a different perspective of the scenario possibilities here.
  5. Ralph Wiggum
    Be careful here, that NAO if not timed just right is going to link up with the Nina-bulging SER into a full lat ridge. I'm not suggesting this happens but it isnt uncommon as we enter the backend of winter in Nina patterns. We need the NAO to remain separate, even flex and close off. If those 2 features should link up, it's probably game over.
  6. Ralph Wiggum
    We are definitely in a lull/reload when we are debating teleconnections 15+ days out. Watch something sneak up now mid range and the warmup get muted.
  7. Ralph Wiggum
    Coastal plain. Yeah. But you didn't mention that in your op
  8. Ralph Wiggum
    March 13, 1993 March 1958
  9. Ralph Wiggum
    Some of our largest late season storms were + nao phases.
  10. Ralph Wiggum
    I'm a firm believer Pac side > Atl for snowfall potential. However, If you are big dog hunting a NAO ridge certainly helps. But yeah, we can score in a -NAO. Just keep the cold air source (-EPO?) in tact and the SER non-raging.
  11. Ralph Wiggum
    Euro has temps in the low 60s around Feb 6. Those around a while know I get giddy when we touch 60 during peak climo! Oh, euro also has a snowstorm following the torch
  12. Ralph Wiggum
    Getting the feeling that we should enjoy the next week or so. Backloaded winter with substantial tracking inoming?
  13. Ralph Wiggum
    A wave you say?
  14. Ralph Wiggum
    Gorgeous Bermuda high as depicted. Shorts and tee shirt weather.
  15. Ralph Wiggum
    Fuck Mahomes
  16. Ralph Wiggum
    As an Eagles guy I really dread having to face Daniel's twice (or more) a season....and they will only get better
  17. Ralph Wiggum
    I was messing with ya lol
  18. Ralph Wiggum
  19. Ralph Wiggum
    This is classic Ji....cancels winter and comes back as soon as he cancels. Cancels the Commanders and....
  20. Ralph Wiggum
    Not over yet
  21. Ralph Wiggum
    We still have mashed potato season at least. Nobody can take that from us.
  22. Ralph Wiggum
    I can relate...when models come out and they don't show snow, I toss em in the trash. That's how we roll.
  23. Ralph Wiggum
    Not sure i would go that far. They are just so deep and balanced in all aspects, when you have Saquon Barkley putting up HOF numbers week-in and week-out, the pass game rarely gets mentioned. But they are solid and pretty good deep there, not trash. I feel bad for the NY Giants letting Barkley go. No I don't actually.
  24. Ralph Wiggum
    Nah they do this all year but find ways to win. This time does feel.different tho
  25. Ralph Wiggum
    Commanders are losing composure and unravelling...yet still in it
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