Ralph Wiggum

Not sure anyone mentioned, but the NAM came N for Tuesday

Hard to get pics outside of the good lighting so here's what I see from my lighted deck

Icicles on everything. Streets are covered in ice. Down to 29F. Pretty decent icing event here. Trees and wires showing some sag.

NAM at range, I wouldn't be disappointed about anything after 30hrs on that model.

Was braced for 1-2' up until 12 hrs prior here. Yep, eta ruined the party. Ended with half an inch of sleet/slop. Worst debacle ever.

Fyp

Plain nasty outside. 100% freezing rain now all surfaces covered in a slippery glaze 30f.

You would have made a great on-screen local news met. Every storm we get you preface part of your post with "Just like I said it would do" or "Just like I told you"

So the 18z euro came north a good bit. The rgem moving N at 18z leads me to believe e the ggem will be n at 0z. Curious if the gfs will still suck

Sleet and freezing rain mix has begun in Ivyland. A wet flake or 2 mixed in. 31F

Yeah, so like, the RGEM did something for Tuesday:

Nam 12k doesnt even get precip in my area until after midnight then outta here by 2am.

There probably will be a big storm. But climo in a Nina late Feb says probably not for the immediate East Coast generally speaking.

Nina climo ftw?

So anyone have predictions on the Super Bowl?? I suppose I will start. Eagles-38 Chiefs-28 final Coin toss-Heads Saquon over 60 yds rushing Hurts over 24.5 yds rushing AJ Brown to have an anytime td Dallas Goedert over 24.5 yds receiving

I will repeat, its over after tonight's mess, at least for my area points S and E. LV maybe another shot, perhaps 2.

Not this season.

Euro just went even more South for Tues/Wed. It's over for that threat guys.

After tonight's mess, its over for all intents and purposes. Pitchers and catchers reporting in a few days.

I'm not even shocked. I feel like we do this regularly anymore. Now when the epic pattern goes to shit or doesn't produce, I will be disappointed. Not really tbough, because again, it's kind of the norm for us.

What a trainwreck, but thankfully it is the op

It is the epic period so maybe it has legs. Look, I don't doubt the indices tank in our favor. But we've seen epic patterns quite a bit recently tbh, more than usual I would even venture to say. But I am more into track actual legit events in these patterns. And I get it, get the pattern in place first. OK. But I guess it's just frustration that these good telleconnections just haven't produced a whole hell of alot over the past decade. Either we are just in a decadal rut or @psuhoffman from the MidAtl will need to dig into the deeper chapters in his log.

Remember when all 3 ens means had 7"+ for our region thru next Friday?

Fringed

Well, I was bored and reading thru the weenie handbook, and I found a glimmer of hope....page 4 section b: "wait for the energy in question to get onshore before throwing in the towel on any given storm as things will begin to trend favorably". Hmmm