Ralph Wiggum
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Everything posted by Ralph Wiggum
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Gotta set your expectations based on Nina climo and seasonal trends. With that said, you and I need to keep our expectations low....very low. I am serious when I say that. This is a Mid Atlantic winter and this one is eyeing them up once again.
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Senior citizen early bird special type stuff
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Could have legit blizzard criteria in spots. Sustained winds would be the final ingredient
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I don't give a fuck who jackpots. Congrats. Just let me get in on a couple inches up this way. Not asking much, I'm not picky. Just about my beer.
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Nina climo ftmfw. My parents are retired in Cape May. I told them years ago ninas generally favor them vs my area. So when I told them in Oct we may be going into a weak Nina they were look "shit, that means snow down here this winter". Hasnt disappointed yet.
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Bad run but oh yeah BTW it's still blizzard-ing
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Central Delaware paying taxes there damn
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Tucky fucky
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In layman's terms, that area of blues is about to push the storm way off the coast in a hurry on this POS. Those blues aren't tilted the right way to allow a westward pull to the surface low.
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Has anyone had a chance to extrapolate the 18z nam?
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^^^this right here.
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As much as most of us are sitting here saying the GFS is trash, every single one of us has at least some level of concern. Definitely not panic, but if the euro or cmc even begin to tick towards the gfs and the gfs doesn't budge, you gotta raise an eyebrow.
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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2024/25 Obs/Discussion
Ralph Wiggum replied to JTA66's topic in Philadelphia Region
Euro a full-on blizzard. GFS not a flake N of the turnpike, CMC in-between. Gonna be a long week. I want to buy the euro so bad, but a big widespread storm in a Nina, while possible, is extremely rare. We track. -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2024/25 Obs/Discussion
Ralph Wiggum replied to JTA66's topic in Philadelphia Region
Same here -
Philly to Boston sees little more than flurries and a period of light snow showers....a true Mid Atlantic special. Meanwhile, the Euro is a KU from DC to Boston. Gentlemen, choose your side.
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It's cold in the wake of this system regardless where it ends up. That much we know.
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Watch the tpv slow so much it ends up phasing with the kicker sw. That would be some shit.
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I mean, in fairness that pretty much does sum up where we are at over the last 15 pages.
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Hey fancy meeting you here
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They have a few that I really enjoy, Mastermind being one. Their Second Fiddle is always enjoyable as well.
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Dead-ass, who has the Spire??
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Hoping for the best, bracing for disaster. You know the drill.
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It is a really really delicate line we are walking between a full clean phase and capture (all) or very subtle timing differences and late development (nothing). I would keep expectations in check until very late weekend or early next week.
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JMA is pretty far off the coast as well. Eastern New England gets crushed tho, so that's a relief
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@Scraff SBI was reading high so ran out to stock the fridge. If all else fails, the cellar is loaded with stouts and imperial stouts. And if the storm falls apart, well, I won't remember it anyway
