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Ralph Wiggum

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Everything posted by Ralph Wiggum

  1. Remember when all 3 ens means had 7"+ for our region thru next Friday?
  2. Well, I was bored and reading thru the weenie handbook, and I found a glimmer of hope....page 4 section b: "wait for the energy in question to get onshore before throwing in the towel on any given storm as things will begin to trend favorably". Hmmm
  3. Don't do it to yourself. Seriously,walk away:
  4. So, with next week in the dumpster, how we looking for our big grand finale major drool-worthy loaded powder keg pattern after the 20th? We still good?
  5. We luv ya man. It's ok to be honest. We just suck at winter anymore. But!.....Nino next year. We fucking got this!
  6. Those are pretty but are talkng indices verifying or actual meaningful wintry westher? I.am focused on the latter. Dont care if the ao is -6 SD if it isn't going to produce.
  7. K. Let's revisit this in 13 days.
  8. Meh. Get it within 5 days
  9. I'm not writing it off. I'm just not feeling confident. And the point of my post was that if we do get everything to line up in that pattern change and for some reason we still shit the bed, then as psu alluded to, back to the log book and that conversation nobody wants to have.
  10. When this period of epicness goes to turd we can look back into the logs of failure and ridicule to locate a cause.
  11. I'm going back to work. 18z happy hour better be happy
  12. I kept telling ppl stop looking ahead to the 20th+.....and watch the 5th-14th. But I got ripped a new one. The same ppl do the same thing every year and never learn. One year they will hit it.
  13. Yeah ,but there are issues with our epic pattern. Not we have energy and a trof trying to set up in the SW, the EPO ridge is displaced too far West, the waning HL block is in the western side of Canada, and the SER is flexing it's muscle.
  14. Well, i will help our cause. Im taking the time this weekend to pack up the snowblower, put the shovels into storage....but i will keep the ice melt handy for the 140 minutes I will need it Sunday morning. That should pretty much guarantee us a measurable event soon.
  15. Yep, and the big epic mint Feb 20+ pattern is looking more muted now too. Oh well. At least we look to be headed for a Nino next year.
  16. Meh...3 events (Saturday, Tuesday, Thurs/Fri) for a whopping 5"....and thats the Kuchera. We take, but this promising week is falling apart. We still got the Birds tho!!
  17. @Heisyhey BTW, what do you make of the period from the 17th thru like the 24th? The nao retrograding and rotting, the epo pumped, the pna trending positive. Is this all too much of a good thing or are we priming ourselves up for a wild ride?
  18. Agreed. All the ops are exactly where we like to see them at this range. GFS south and dry, Euro more amped and targeting our general area, CMC in the middle. One thing I've noted for several years now....when the models get the first run with the Pac dropsonde data ingested they almost always take a weird jump. The gfs did exactly what we would expect. Now things tend to settle down going forward and the actual trends back to what we were seeing take place. We are in a nice spot tbh.
  19. So much for the front end thump of snow.
  20. Well, the 6z euro crushes SE PA and LV so yeah. Something interesting at least looming for Tuesday. Excited for Saturday night and then the Super bowl for now!
  21. Well, like @Birds~69 said, enjoy Saturdays threat. One at a time. For all we know, that could end up our best system of the week
  22. Dry as a bone on the gfs. Drought man rejoices.
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