NAM is colder and practically.all.snow eastern pa.
ETA: im not buying it btw just passing it along. This one still feels like a thump to mix/taint....for now
I agree with this. Definitely not a clean flush hit, at least not appearing that way right now.
Ironically, the gefs mean is colder and snowier with a mean snowfall totals of 5" here in central bucks.
Exactly.
It is also important to watch where models track the redeveloping slp. AIGFS is off the VA/NC border. Thats pretty key.
Eta: is a function of the nao and the hp strength so yeah, all interconnected here
I know the pretty red L is up in Lake Ontario, but sure looks like the icon is depicting a slp popping near oc, MD. Alas, enough of this jv model. OK trend tho.