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Ralph Wiggum

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Everything posted by Ralph Wiggum

  1. NAM says mix line might get to NY border. Keeps plowing N. Writing is on the wall with this one. Mainly a sLeet/icing event much of SE PA after a 4-hr thump.
  2. 6" is reasonable for our location. Seeing alot of posts here and FB on how we won't see less than 12" because this is a 16 hr storm. People are forgetting only about 4-5 hours of it is actually clean snow for our areas (7am-noon?). Past 12 hrs the trend now is a quicker flip as the warm tongue screams N and W. Just hoping this isnt it and 2 weeks of cold/dry -> spring.
  3. 6z euro caved with mixing up to i80. Thinking 4-8" here is a good bet topped with sleet.
  4. Watch, the gfs at the last minute will blast the sleet line farther north than any other guidance. It would be typical of this model.
  5. Changeover up here looks to happen between 1 and 3PM Sunday. Roughly 5-7" on the ground prior to any change.
  6. If it makes you feel better, here's the most biased cold model the fv3, often wrong, seldom right. A big hit!
  7. Its over south of i78. Avg 4-6 nickel and dimer....though the sleet will make it seem like a MECS
  8. Is this even a question? If Vegas had odds most of us would be rich.
  9. Never gets above freezing thru 384 and no letup in sight. Amazing run of winter weather. We will be referring back to this one for a long long time. Savor every second.
  10. Yes and yes. Signal and tellies are there.
  11. If that fucker stacks vertically, thermals won't be an issue.
  12. Meh. OK but seriously LFG!!! Who else is ready for another week of tracking??
  13. Borrowing this from @MillvilleWx in the mid atl sub.
  14. Im not sure i can do this again next week. Im too old for this shit
  15. Wouldn't take much. Just as Randy said, the lobe pivoting around the PV under the nao needs to dive in and remain relevant.
  16. That seems to lock in the cold behind it for the weekend system
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