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Ralph Wiggum

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Everything posted by Ralph Wiggum

  1. Ralph Wiggum
    I thought I read somewhere that reed timmer (chaser) hinted this would be a late start for severe but also that there is a higher risk for more extreme/historic outbreaks?
  2. Ralph Wiggum
    Speaking of snow on snow, before we entered the string of snowy wintry weather late in Jan thru today we still had piles around from the mid Dec storm. Not sure if that counts or not but if so, we would have had snowpack since mid Dec here. Also, it was a normal progression this season into prime climo. We never really had any torch or thaw. We just got.progressively cooler/colder since Jan 1 essentially. And now we look to go progressively milder (relative).
  3. Ralph Wiggum
    Only thing worse is reading you complain about for 5 months Eta: joking of course, but yeah extended HHH isn't exactly my cup of tea either. I live here to enjoy 4 diverse seasons, not 2
  4. Ralph Wiggum
    These snow depth maps on the NAMs have been terrible lately. Had about the same last storm...I remember because I posted it. So the 1" it showed turned into 8" of snow here. Looking forward to some snow tv shortly. Radar shows it moving in earlier.
  5. Ralph Wiggum
    Extended ens means show what the Feb pattern was 'supposed to be in a Nina heading into March. SER, 50/50 high, -PNA, TPV anchored over the N Pole. All signs point to an early spring for a change. That would be awesome! I like fishing for early April striped bass and weakfish in the 50s and 60s not the 30s and low 40s.
  6. Ralph Wiggum
    Latest hrrr colder....95% snow now with 4" here. Probably mostly on old snow but a nice refresh. All guidance on board for 3-6" here now. I dont buy it. My bar is set at 2.5" 28F
  7. Ralph Wiggum
    Wow
  8. Ralph Wiggum
    27F here. Plenty cold. Should be a nice quick thump then we welcome spring?
  9. Ralph Wiggum
    I think you are right. I mentioned this yesterday with the mesos and Canadians but how the nams seemed 'off ' again. Now they are jumping on at the last minute. It also was 2 degrees colder than forecast last night which will make a difference imho.
  10. Ralph Wiggum
    I see you caved and went with some accums finally. Wise man are you. Rates will be decent during this. Ratios not so much but surfaces will cave rapidly.
  11. Ralph Wiggum
    That banding feature looks like a summertime tstorm front. Im willing to bet those that manage to remain snow under it pickup a quick 2-4" with some 5" lollis reported. Most guidance is hanging onto the cold just long enough now to not want to never flip my area until the final few minutes. This is the winter that just wants to trend the right way.
  12. Ralph Wiggum
    Thats funny because the NAM 3k, rgem, hrdps, wrfs, and hrrt all nudged totals to 2-5" almost everyone w of say 476 and n of the Turnpike
  13. Ralph Wiggum
    I said for a while, not for the season.
  14. Ralph Wiggum
    Lets do it! Quick refresh. Then the warmup. In fine calling it a season after this
  15. Ralph Wiggum
    Whatever happens it looks like these will be the last flakes SE PA sees for a while.
  16. Ralph Wiggum
    Canadian models (ggem, rgem, hdrps) are insisting this is 3-6 hrs of heavy snow at 1-2"/ hr. Increasing with each run. NAMs are nothing like it.
  17. Ralph Wiggum
    GFS trended the right way. Euro has it but weakish. Worth keeping an eye on but not a strong signal attm
  18. Ralph Wiggum
    I actually really enjoy the last 2 weeks of feb and the first days of March. Not enough angle yet to be completely detrimental but just enough to usually keep roads in check and as you said also helps with cleaning the car.
  19. Ralph Wiggum
    What radar app is that?
  20. Ralph Wiggum
    I've seen worse late Feb looks. Clean up that mess near the GL, flatten out the SER a hair, and move the Western ridge east a blip and we probably have something. Winter isn't over yet thats for sure.
  21. Ralph Wiggum
    Looks like the LP in the GL mucks up thermals for what could have been a decent Southwest flow gradient event in later panels.
  22. Ralph Wiggum
    198 system pulling away. Light rain showers everyone. LP Western GL ruling the flow. Meh, didnt get it done but there is the northern solution I was fearful of. This isn't a suppressed look at all.
  23. Ralph Wiggum
    192 light snow northern sections, sleet most of SE PA. Rain in extreme SE PA. Surface wave is weak.
  24. Ralph Wiggum
    186 light snow in western sections. Surface low reflection off the C/NC border. 1031 hp offshore but CAD evident.
  25. Ralph Wiggum
    At 180 the hp still centered right over Atlantic City. Storm has stopped in its tracks in the TV and weakness is evident off the SC coast trying to redevelop.
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