Ralph Wiggum

Exactly, nothing but avocados and blue balls.

Fire and brimstone at 10mb!!

It happens. Never a bad thing to 'bust' the wrong way. But counting chickens before they hatch....let's actually score something first.

Euro has some frozen for Sunday. All 3 LR ops have several threats. 26th-27th looks decent

As a side bar, great to see your posts in here daily the past several days. Refreshing.

Best look is day 7+ tho we could still sneak into something over the next week behind one of the waves to our W as the boundary is dragged S and a quick wave follows behind.

Not even that far out tbh. Still could sneak something next 7 days but yes in general the 'best' looks are showing up after day 7. Get this under 7 days and get discrete threats under 5 and we dance.

Keep throwing chances with the displaced TPV and 50/50 signature in the MR/LR with stj action and eventually we will cash in. Patience will pay off soon enough...confidence is increasing.

Love me some LR op digital fantasy

Looks like the Roger Smith storm brewing late in the GFS run.

And also added major snow event once the cutter pulls the boundary underneath us. GEFS / EPS appear primed as well.

So we went from the 22nd to the 25th to the 27th and now to the 30th as threat windows all in under 12 hours? Impressive can-kicking....Dallas Cowboys should look to sign.

His teammates, the owner, etc all wondering what sports book prop he wagered on...under xps?

5 straight

4 straight...missed his last vs washington

As per all 3 major ens means it looks like patience will finally pay off the last week of the month and into Feb. Signal for overrunning events is actually growing instead of waning. Get some of these discrete threats within 5 or 6 days and we might have something. Winter is far from over. Major SSWE happening and SPV split, enso ssts starting to warm, MJO not super amplified going into marginal phases, NAO-, split flow out west, TPV displaced south allowing for caa, 850s well BN, SER getting beat back. Let's do this! Buckle up...backloaded winter incoming

You punted. What were you thinking?! Hurry downfield and catch your own kick....fast!

How about a caramel espresso porter?

Watch Feb do the unthinkable now and go opposite the typical Nina base and be a redemption month. Honestly would not surprise me in the least. This hasn't behaved like a typical Nina and the SSTs are already warming slightly in the enso waters. Add the SSWE too and anyone's guess.

Yes but that is a PV split at the stratosphere level 10mb, not trop

FML....we r back to tracking avocados that overwhelm the pattern with too much cold? Glad it's just the op, but there is a deja vu vibe here without a doubt.

Well, wrt the Jan 25, 2000 bust (a good bust mind you) you say will never happen again we still have major busts under 24 hrs and that goes both positive and negative. There was one coastal maybe Jan 2017(?) where coastal S Jersey was forecast to get 1-3' up until 12 -18 hours prior. Mets kept saying it's coming, just delayed. Woke up in Wildwood NJ to partly sunny and a scattered flurry. Guidance isn't perfect and we still get surprises. I'm sure there have been positive busts for folks on here within the past few years as well. Guess my point is that speaking is absolutes such as "this will never happen again " can be a careless approach. Now back to the weenie eps gents.

You also said the 6z gefs mean was a torch thru the end of the month earlier so there's that.