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Ralph Wiggum

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Everything posted by Ralph Wiggum

  1. Ralph Wiggum
    Coming up from GOM into a stale marginal airmass with no HP to the North. I'm sure that will work out for the lower elevations.
  2. Ralph Wiggum
    Good catch....I see I can't pull a quick one on you Ant lol.
  3. Ralph Wiggum
    It did? Could have fooled me....
  4. Ralph Wiggum
    How's the early Feb Roger Smith storm looking?
  5. Ralph Wiggum
  6. Ralph Wiggum
    The window closed for the lower elevations for next week across all overnight guidance and 6z. This is a truly humbling hobby. SPV is getting beaten to a pulp tho currently, so maybe next window will be better? Or maybe not.
  7. Ralph Wiggum
    Loop last 3 runs. Baby steps. Probably won't help with storm 1. Bigger threat with storm 2 imo.
  8. Ralph Wiggum
    Slowly making a move to the Euro and icon. Painfully slow
  9. Ralph Wiggum
    GFS has the Sunday low over NOLA at 78 hrs vs over middle Oklahoma at 18z fwiw.
  10. Ralph Wiggum
    Bills mafia ftw
  11. Ralph Wiggum
    I love tracking with you guys and the excitement among the group (comraderie) as favorable trends happen and we get closer to go-time. The funniness at times, the joking, the keyboard personaIities, etc.
  12. Ralph Wiggum
    Of course u r Ji
  13. Ralph Wiggum
    So would P29
  14. Ralph Wiggum
    Bingo. Like I noted earlier this is one of the classic ukie biases. Tho I wouldn't doubt the fall line ends up the r/s line.
  15. Ralph Wiggum
    On to the NAVGEM...
  16. Ralph Wiggum
    Don't follow its thermals. Used to hold back energy in sw like euro. General ideas are usefull ie if you are trying to see if a cutter idea vs coastal idea is valid. Ukie tends to overamp as well.
  17. Ralph Wiggum
    That's actually a really good sign. When utilized properly the ukie is a half decent piece of guidance provided you are aware of it's biases
  18. Ralph Wiggum
    RedSky punted and the return team fumbled. Bedlam on the field. Buckle up for next week....patience looks really close now to paying off. 3 solid chances in peak climo with cold air available. Let's do this!
  19. Ralph Wiggum
    What do the JMA and UKIE say?
  20. Ralph Wiggum
    Pretty big shift for an ens means at this range
  21. Ralph Wiggum
    Least snowiest model wins 90% of the time.
  22. Ralph Wiggum
    Tracking wintry weather is a hobby for me. I'm not on here as much during the summer outside of following severe or a tropical system, but 'hobby' is still an acceptable term for what many of us do here outside of red taggers and orange taggers.
  23. Ralph Wiggum
    I dont think it is a total head fake and I'm certain we get extremely close on a few chances if not cash-in finally....but maybe your punt won't look bad by the time we get to Valentines Day-ish.
  24. Ralph Wiggum
    CMC says let's overwhelm the pattern with avocado cold....LR dry GFS says let's open the window just a crack then slam it shut so hard it shatters the glass...LR torch Euro says I'll just string you along a few days then pull the rug out....then when you are out I'll pop a unicorn look and do it again Sometime I seriously loathe this hobby.
  25. Ralph Wiggum
    Fits the Roger Smith narrative....one legit shot early Feb, warmup middle 2 weeks, back to cold end of Feb. The guy forecasts thru the stars and is mostly spot-on.
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